Iranian parliamentary proposals in August 2026 to withdraw from the NPT, submitted amid tensions following prior U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, have fueled discussion but remain at the legislative stage without adoption by the government or Supreme National Security Council. Tehran has already suspended IAEA inspector access and declarations since mid-2025, effectively operating with reduced treaty oversight while repeatedly reaffirming its commitment not to pursue nuclear weapons. Analysts note that such withdrawal threats have surfaced periodically during disputes yet never advanced to policy, often serving leverage in negotiations rather than triggering the three-month notice process under Article X. With limited time remaining before 2027 and no evidence of imminent executive action, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of formal exit in the near term despite ongoing regional frictions.