Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected to launch as the iPhone Ultra or Fold in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, drives the strong 94.2% market-implied odds for a pre-2027 release. Recent supply-chain reports confirm component shipments and hinge validation are advancing, while iOS 27 beta code includes explicit references to foldState, hinge angle detection, and dual displays, signaling software readiness for a book-style device with a roughly 7.8-inch inner screen. Credible reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and multiple analysts reinforces a fall announcement and limited initial shipments this year. Potential hurdles include further production constraints on the hinge or display yields that could push volume availability into early 2027, though current momentum makes such slips unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui94% peluang
$411,950 Vol.
$411,950 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
94% peluang
$411,950 Vol.
$411,950 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected to launch as the iPhone Ultra or Fold in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, drives the strong 94.2% market-implied odds for a pre-2027 release. Recent supply-chain reports confirm component shipments and hinge validation are advancing, while iOS 27 beta code includes explicit references to foldState, hinge angle detection, and dual displays, signaling software readiness for a book-style device with a roughly 7.8-inch inner screen. Credible reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and multiple analysts reinforces a fall announcement and limited initial shipments this year. Potential hurdles include further production constraints on the hinge or display yields that could push volume availability into early 2027, though current momentum makes such slips unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$411,950Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected to launch as the iPhone Ultra or Fold in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, drives the strong 94.2% market-implied odds for a pre-2027 release. Recent supply-chain reports confirm component shipments and hinge validation are advancing, while iOS 27 beta code includes explicit references to foldState, hinge angle detection, and dual displays, signaling software readiness for a book-style device with a roughly 7.8-inch inner screen. Credible reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and multiple analysts reinforces a fall announcement and limited initial shipments this year. Potential hurdles include further production constraints on the hinge or display yields that could push volume availability into early 2027, though current momentum makes such slips unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$411,950Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected to launch as the iPhone Ultra or Fold in September 2026 alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, drives the strong 94.2% market-implied odds for a pre-2027 release. Recent supply-chain reports confirm component shipments and hinge validation are advancing, while iOS 27 beta code includes explicit references to foldState, hinge angle detection, and dual displays, signaling software readiness for a book-style device with a roughly 7.8-inch inner screen. Credible reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and multiple analysts reinforces a fall announcement and limited initial shipments this year. Potential hurdles include further production constraints on the hinge or display yields that could push volume availability into early 2027, though current momentum makes such slips unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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