The competitive 2026 House elections, functioning as a referendum on the current administration amid narrow Republican majorities, are sustaining trader expectations for turnout above typical midterm baselines. Democratic polling leads in the generic ballot, special election overperformance, and an enthusiasm gap favoring opposition voters have elevated mobilization signals, while redistricting shifts and primary participation trends add upward pressure. Historical patterns of 100-115 million votes in recent off-year cycles anchor the market, with the leading 115-130 million ranges reflecting uncertainty over whether sustained fundraising, economic messaging, and battleground district intensity will boost totals or if base fatigue will constrain them. The November 3 election date leaves room for late developments in voter registration and turnout operations to influence final participation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato115-120m 21%
125-130m 21%
120-125m 16%
110-115m 13%
$26,345 Vol.
$26,345 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
2%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
7%
105-110m
7%
110-115m
13%
115-120m
21%
120-125m
16%
125-130m
21%
130m+
6%
115-120m 21%
125-130m 21%
120-125m 16%
110-115m 13%
$26,345 Vol.
$26,345 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85m
$597 Vol.
1%
85-90m
$609 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,723 Vol.
2%
95-100m
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$1,195 Vol.
7%
105-110m
$931 Vol.
7%
110-115m
$4,450 Vol.
13%
115-120m
$4,095 Vol.
21%
120-125m
$8,507 Vol.
16%
125-130m
$2,842 Vol.
21%
130m+
$1,018 Vol.
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The competitive 2026 House elections, functioning as a referendum on the current administration amid narrow Republican majorities, are sustaining trader expectations for turnout above typical midterm baselines. Democratic polling leads in the generic ballot, special election overperformance, and an enthusiasm gap favoring opposition voters have elevated mobilization signals, while redistricting shifts and primary participation trends add upward pressure. Historical patterns of 100-115 million votes in recent off-year cycles anchor the market, with the leading 115-130 million ranges reflecting uncertainty over whether sustained fundraising, economic messaging, and battleground district intensity will boost totals or if base fatigue will constrain them. The November 3 election date leaves room for late developments in voter registration and turnout operations to influence final participation.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$26,345Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The competitive 2026 House elections, functioning as a referendum on the current administration amid narrow Republican majorities, are sustaining trader expectations for turnout above typical midterm baselines. Democratic polling leads in the generic ballot, special election overperformance, and an enthusiasm gap favoring opposition voters have elevated mobilization signals, while redistricting shifts and primary participation trends add upward pressure. Historical patterns of 100-115 million votes in recent off-year cycles anchor the market, with the leading 115-130 million ranges reflecting uncertainty over whether sustained fundraising, economic messaging, and battleground district intensity will boost totals or if base fatigue will constrain them. The November 3 election date leaves room for late developments in voter registration and turnout operations to influence final participation.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$26,345Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The competitive 2026 House elections, functioning as a referendum on the current administration amid narrow Republican majorities, are sustaining trader expectations for turnout above typical midterm baselines. Democratic polling leads in the generic ballot, special election overperformance, and an enthusiasm gap favoring opposition voters have elevated mobilization signals, while redistricting shifts and primary participation trends add upward pressure. Historical patterns of 100-115 million votes in recent off-year cycles anchor the market, with the leading 115-130 million ranges reflecting uncertainty over whether sustained fundraising, economic messaging, and battleground district intensity will boost totals or if base fatigue will constrain them. The November 3 election date leaves room for late developments in voter registration and turnout operations to influence final participation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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