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icon for Elezioni del Senato di Acri: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni del Senato di Acri: 1° posto

icon for Elezioni del Senato di Acri: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni del Senato di Acri: 1° posto

Mara Rocha 27.9%

Marcio Bittar 28%

Gladson Camelí 15.4%

Jorge Viana 2.1%

Polymarket

$39,977 Vol.

Mara Rocha 27.9%

Marcio Bittar 28%

Gladson Camelí 15.4%

Jorge Viana 2.1%

Polymarket

$39,977 Vol.

icon for Mara Rocha

Mara Rocha

$6,605 Vol.

28%

icon for Marcio Bittar

Marcio Bittar

$15,549 Vol.

28%

icon for Gladson Camelí

Gladson Camelí

$11,597 Vol.

15%

icon for Jorge Viana

Jorge Viana

$2,628 Vol.

2%

icon for Dottor Junior Feitosa

Dottor Junior Feitosa

$668 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Velloso

Eduardo Velloso

$772 Vol.

<1%

icon for Petecão

Petecão

$1,402 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Inacio Moreira

Professor Inacio Moreira

$756 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race for first place remains exceptionally tight, with Polymarket traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities around 28% to Márcio Bittar (PL) and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) as the top vote-getter, ahead of Gladson Cameli (PP) at 15%. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others through late August shows a fragmented field of eight candidates, with Cameli, Bittar, Rocha, and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads or technical ties within margins of error for the two seats. Each voter selects two senators on October 4, amplifying the impact of coalition strategies such as the Avança Acre alliance linking Cameli and Bittar. Low undecided shares in some surveys and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts driven by turnout, regional strongholds, or final voter consolidation among the leading contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$39,977
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race for first place remains exceptionally tight, with Polymarket traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities around 28% to Márcio Bittar (PL) and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) as the top vote-getter, ahead of Gladson Cameli (PP) at 15%. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others through late August shows a fragmented field of eight candidates, with Cameli, Bittar, Rocha, and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads or technical ties within margins of error for the two seats. Each voter selects two senators on October 4, amplifying the impact of coalition strategies such as the Avança Acre alliance linking Cameli and Bittar. Low undecided shares in some surveys and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts driven by turnout, regional strongholds, or final voter consolidation among the leading contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$39,977
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Mara Rocha otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato dell'Acre del 2026?

Mara Rocha otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato dell'Acre del 2026?

59%
Sì
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile nello stato di Acre?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile nello stato di Acre?

97%
Sì
icon for Eduardo Braga otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato dell'Amazzonia del 2026?

Eduardo Braga otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato dell'Amazzonia del 2026?

74%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del Senato di Acri: 1° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Mara Rocha" a 28%, seguito da "Marcio Bittar" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 28¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni del Senato di Acri: 1° posto" ha generato $40K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del Senato di Acri: 1° posto", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del Senato di Acri: 1° posto" è "Mara Rocha" a 28%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Marcio Bittar" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del Senato di Acri: 1° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.