Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads recent polling averages for the October 4, 2026, first-round Ceará gubernatorial contest, with late August and early September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel placing him at 45–48% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 34–46%. This edge stems from Ciro’s name recognition as a former governor, formalized PSDB-Cidadania candidacy with right-leaning alliances including PL backing for Senate slots, and voter consolidation among independents and opposition blocs. Elmano maintains a solid PT base and incumbency advantages but trails in most head-to-head simulations, where Ciro often reaches 49–50%. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register under 3% and show limited movement. Trader pricing reflects these sustained polling gaps and the polarized two-candidate dynamic heading into the final campaign month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 37%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$214,409 Vol.
$214,409 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
64%
Elmano de Freitas
37%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 37%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$214,409 Vol.
$214,409 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
$101,218 Vol.
64%
Elmano de Freitas
$42,312 Vol.
37%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads recent polling averages for the October 4, 2026, first-round Ceará gubernatorial contest, with late August and early September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel placing him at 45–48% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 34–46%. This edge stems from Ciro’s name recognition as a former governor, formalized PSDB-Cidadania candidacy with right-leaning alliances including PL backing for Senate slots, and voter consolidation among independents and opposition blocs. Elmano maintains a solid PT base and incumbency advantages but trails in most head-to-head simulations, where Ciro often reaches 49–50%. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register under 3% and show limited movement. Trader pricing reflects these sustained polling gaps and the polarized two-candidate dynamic heading into the final campaign month.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$214,409Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads recent polling averages for the October 4, 2026, first-round Ceará gubernatorial contest, with late August and early September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel placing him at 45–48% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 34–46%. This edge stems from Ciro’s name recognition as a former governor, formalized PSDB-Cidadania candidacy with right-leaning alliances including PL backing for Senate slots, and voter consolidation among independents and opposition blocs. Elmano maintains a solid PT base and incumbency advantages but trails in most head-to-head simulations, where Ciro often reaches 49–50%. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register under 3% and show limited movement. Trader pricing reflects these sustained polling gaps and the polarized two-candidate dynamic heading into the final campaign month.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$214,409Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads recent polling averages for the October 4, 2026, first-round Ceará gubernatorial contest, with late August and early September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel placing him at 45–48% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 34–46%. This edge stems from Ciro’s name recognition as a former governor, formalized PSDB-Cidadania candidacy with right-leaning alliances including PL backing for Senate slots, and voter consolidation among independents and opposition blocs. Elmano maintains a solid PT base and incumbency advantages but trails in most head-to-head simulations, where Ciro often reaches 49–50%. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register under 3% and show limited movement. Trader pricing reflects these sustained polling gaps and the polarized two-candidate dynamic heading into the final campaign month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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