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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Arequipa
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Arequipa

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Arequipa
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Arequipa

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes 23%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 21%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 19%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto 12.8%

Polymarket

$14,063 Vol.

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes 23%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 21%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 19%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto 12.8%

Polymarket

$14,063 Vol.

icon for Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

$1,798 Vol.

23%

icon for Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

$937 Vol.

21%

icon for Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

$7,343 Vol.

19%

icon for Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

$71 Vol.

13%

icon for Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

$150 Vol.

11%

icon for Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

$91 Vol.

6%

icon for Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

$157 Vol.

5%

icon for Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

$282 Vol.

5%

icon for Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

$87 Vol.

5%

icon for José Miguel Briones Silva

José Miguel Briones Silva

$246 Vol.

5%

icon for Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

$1,082 Vol.

5%

icon for Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

$279 Vol.

4%

icon for Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

$94 Vol.

4%

icon for Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

$87 Vol.

4%

icon for Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

$175 Vol.

4%

icon for Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

$259 Vol.

3%

icon for Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

$249 Vol.

2%

icon for Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

$127 Vol.

1%

icon for Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

$107 Vol.

8%

icon for Isidro Flores Sosa

Isidro Flores Sosa

$443 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).**Arequipa’s October 4, 2026 municipal election features roughly 20 registered candidates for provincial mayor, producing a highly fragmented field that keeps implied probabilities clustered among the leading contenders.** Recent August polling shows Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes (Fuerza Arequipeña, current Cerro Colorado mayor) narrowly ahead at 22–24 percent, followed closely by Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera (Arequipa, Tradición y Futuro, current Sachaca mayor) and Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa (Renovación Popular). Trader prices align with these surveys while assigning lower odds to the remaining slate, including Deyanira Salazar Rivera and lower-polling figures. The tight distribution stems from Peru’s multi-party local system, where regional movements and national parties split the vote without a dominant incumbent or clear frontrunner. Ruccy Oscco Polar, the sitting mayor, appears low in both polls and market pricing. Late-campaign factors that could widen gaps include additional polling releases, candidate debates, formal endorsements, or any new administrative or legal developments affecting the top contenders before election day. High undecided shares in surveys add further uncertainty to the final outcome.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$14,063
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).**Arequipa’s October 4, 2026 municipal election features roughly 20 registered candidates for provincial mayor, producing a highly fragmented field that keeps implied probabilities clustered among the leading contenders.** Recent August polling shows Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes (Fuerza Arequipeña, current Cerro Colorado mayor) narrowly ahead at 22–24 percent, followed closely by Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera (Arequipa, Tradición y Futuro, current Sachaca mayor) and Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa (Renovación Popular). Trader prices align with these surveys while assigning lower odds to the remaining slate, including Deyanira Salazar Rivera and lower-polling figures. The tight distribution stems from Peru’s multi-party local system, where regional movements and national parties split the vote without a dominant incumbent or clear frontrunner. Ruccy Oscco Polar, the sitting mayor, appears low in both polls and market pricing. Late-campaign factors that could widen gaps include additional polling releases, candidate debates, formal endorsements, or any new administrative or legal developments affecting the top contenders before election day. High undecided shares in surveys add further uncertainty to the final outcome.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$14,063
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Arequipa" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 20 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes" a 23%, seguito da "Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 23¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 23% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Arequipa" ha generato $14.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 12, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Arequipa", esplora i 20 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Arequipa" è "Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes" a 23%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 23% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Arequipa" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.