Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District, a conservative-leaning Eastern Shore seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index. Harris secured his party’s nomination with over 80 percent in the June 2026 primary and benefits from long tenure since 2010, substantial fundraising dominance, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who won a fragmented primary, trails in limited polling and faces structural headwinds in voter registration and past election margins. The 93.5 percent Republican implied probability reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of major recent shifts. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant scandal, health event, or an unexpectedly strong national Democratic environment, though redistricting changes are not expected to affect the 2026 contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MD-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MD-01
$59,288 Vol.
$59,288 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
94%
Partito Democratico
7%
$59,288 Vol.
$59,288 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$33,536 Vol.
94%
Partito Democratico
$25,752 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District, a conservative-leaning Eastern Shore seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index. Harris secured his party’s nomination with over 80 percent in the June 2026 primary and benefits from long tenure since 2010, substantial fundraising dominance, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who won a fragmented primary, trails in limited polling and faces structural headwinds in voter registration and past election margins. The 93.5 percent Republican implied probability reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of major recent shifts. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant scandal, health event, or an unexpectedly strong national Democratic environment, though redistricting changes are not expected to affect the 2026 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$59,288Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District, a conservative-leaning Eastern Shore seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index. Harris secured his party’s nomination with over 80 percent in the June 2026 primary and benefits from long tenure since 2010, substantial fundraising dominance, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who won a fragmented primary, trails in limited polling and faces structural headwinds in voter registration and past election margins. The 93.5 percent Republican implied probability reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of major recent shifts. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant scandal, health event, or an unexpectedly strong national Democratic environment, though redistricting changes are not expected to affect the 2026 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$59,288Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District, a conservative-leaning Eastern Shore seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index. Harris secured his party’s nomination with over 80 percent in the June 2026 primary and benefits from long tenure since 2010, substantial fundraising dominance, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who won a fragmented primary, trails in limited polling and faces structural headwinds in voter registration and past election margins. The 93.5 percent Republican implied probability reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of major recent shifts. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant scandal, health event, or an unexpectedly strong national Democratic environment, though redistricting changes are not expected to affect the 2026 contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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