Unity's commanding market position stems from its withdrawal from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4 after founder Gilad Erdan cited polling well below the 3.25% threshold and unsuccessful merger talks with other parties, including Blue and White. The party, formed in early August by Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a Likud splinter, submitted no candidate list by the September 8 deadline, leaving it off the ballot entirely. Trader consensus reflects this structural barrier, with only remote scenarios such as a last-minute reversal, legal challenge to the withdrawal, or reinterpretation of write-in or surplus-vote rules potentially altering the outcome. Recent polls show no measurable support for the defunct list among viable contenders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato<0,5% 96.5%
0,5-0,75% 1.1%
0,75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<0,5%
97%
0,5-0,75%
1%
0,75-1%
1%
1-2%
1%
2%+
<1%
<0,5% 96.5%
0,5-0,75% 1.1%
0,75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<0,5%
$596 Vol.
97%
0,5-0,75%
$162 Vol.
1%
0,75-1%
$109 Vol.
1%
1-2%
$112 Vol.
1%
2%+
$223 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity's commanding market position stems from its withdrawal from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4 after founder Gilad Erdan cited polling well below the 3.25% threshold and unsuccessful merger talks with other parties, including Blue and White. The party, formed in early August by Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a Likud splinter, submitted no candidate list by the September 8 deadline, leaving it off the ballot entirely. Trader consensus reflects this structural barrier, with only remote scenarios such as a last-minute reversal, legal challenge to the withdrawal, or reinterpretation of write-in or surplus-vote rules potentially altering the outcome. Recent polls show no measurable support for the defunct list among viable contenders.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$1,202Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity's commanding market position stems from its withdrawal from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4 after founder Gilad Erdan cited polling well below the 3.25% threshold and unsuccessful merger talks with other parties, including Blue and White. The party, formed in early August by Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a Likud splinter, submitted no candidate list by the September 8 deadline, leaving it off the ballot entirely. Trader consensus reflects this structural barrier, with only remote scenarios such as a last-minute reversal, legal challenge to the withdrawal, or reinterpretation of write-in or surplus-vote rules potentially altering the outcome. Recent polls show no measurable support for the defunct list among viable contenders.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$1,202Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Unity's commanding market position stems from its withdrawal from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4 after founder Gilad Erdan cited polling well below the 3.25% threshold and unsuccessful merger talks with other parties, including Blue and White. The party, formed in early August by Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a Likud splinter, submitted no candidate list by the September 8 deadline, leaving it off the ballot entirely. Trader consensus reflects this structural barrier, with only remote scenarios such as a last-minute reversal, legal challenge to the withdrawal, or reinterpretation of write-in or surplus-vote rules potentially altering the outcome. Recent polls show no measurable support for the defunct list among viable contenders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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