Redistricting approved earlier in 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district to an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index by adding conservative-leaning counties in central and southern Florida, eroding the Democratic base that had supported incumbent Darren Soto. Multiple independent ratings now classify the seat as Likely Republican. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary and has drawn national party support through the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program. Recent campaign exchanges have centered on Green’s criticism of Soto’s vote against legislation including a no-tax-on-tips provision. These structural and candidate factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$19,961 Vol.
$19,961 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Dan Green (R)
61%
Darren Soto (D)
37%
$19,961 Vol.
$19,961 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Dan Green (R)
$11,663 Vol.
61%
Darren Soto (D)
$8,298 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved earlier in 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district to an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index by adding conservative-leaning counties in central and southern Florida, eroding the Democratic base that had supported incumbent Darren Soto. Multiple independent ratings now classify the seat as Likely Republican. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary and has drawn national party support through the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program. Recent campaign exchanges have centered on Green’s criticism of Soto’s vote against legislation including a no-tax-on-tips provision. These structural and candidate factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$19,961Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved earlier in 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district to an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index by adding conservative-leaning counties in central and southern Florida, eroding the Democratic base that had supported incumbent Darren Soto. Multiple independent ratings now classify the seat as Likely Republican. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary and has drawn national party support through the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program. Recent campaign exchanges have centered on Green’s criticism of Soto’s vote against legislation including a no-tax-on-tips provision. These structural and candidate factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,961Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved earlier in 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district to an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index by adding conservative-leaning counties in central and southern Florida, eroding the Democratic base that had supported incumbent Darren Soto. Multiple independent ratings now classify the seat as Likely Republican. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary and has drawn national party support through the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program. Recent campaign exchanges have centered on Green’s criticism of Soto’s vote against legislation including a no-tax-on-tips provision. These structural and candidate factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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