Jon Ossoff holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Georgia Senate race due to his incumbency advantage, superior fundraising with over $60 million raised and substantial cash reserves, and consistent polling margins averaging 7 points or more against Republican nominee Mike Collins. Analyst ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter trends in a state Trump carried in 2024 yet where Democrats have performed well in recent Senate and statewide contests. The Republican primary, marked by internal divisions between Trump-backed Collins and the Kemp-aligned challenger, left the GOP nominee with limited early general-election momentum. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with polling aggregates and historical base rates for incumbent reelection in competitive states, though variables such as turnout shifts among suburban or rural voters or major late-cycle developments could narrow the gap before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$129,869 Vol.
$129,869 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jon Ossoff (D)
93%
Mike Collins (R)
7%
$129,869 Vol.
$129,869 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jon Ossoff (D)
$51,351 Vol.
93%
Mike Collins (R)
$78,518 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jon Ossoff holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Georgia Senate race due to his incumbency advantage, superior fundraising with over $60 million raised and substantial cash reserves, and consistent polling margins averaging 7 points or more against Republican nominee Mike Collins. Analyst ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter trends in a state Trump carried in 2024 yet where Democrats have performed well in recent Senate and statewide contests. The Republican primary, marked by internal divisions between Trump-backed Collins and the Kemp-aligned challenger, left the GOP nominee with limited early general-election momentum. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with polling aggregates and historical base rates for incumbent reelection in competitive states, though variables such as turnout shifts among suburban or rural voters or major late-cycle developments could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$129,869Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jon Ossoff holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Georgia Senate race due to his incumbency advantage, superior fundraising with over $60 million raised and substantial cash reserves, and consistent polling margins averaging 7 points or more against Republican nominee Mike Collins. Analyst ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter trends in a state Trump carried in 2024 yet where Democrats have performed well in recent Senate and statewide contests. The Republican primary, marked by internal divisions between Trump-backed Collins and the Kemp-aligned challenger, left the GOP nominee with limited early general-election momentum. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with polling aggregates and historical base rates for incumbent reelection in competitive states, though variables such as turnout shifts among suburban or rural voters or major late-cycle developments could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$129,869Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Ossoff holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Georgia Senate race due to his incumbency advantage, superior fundraising with over $60 million raised and substantial cash reserves, and consistent polling margins averaging 7 points or more against Republican nominee Mike Collins. Analyst ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter trends in a state Trump carried in 2024 yet where Democrats have performed well in recent Senate and statewide contests. The Republican primary, marked by internal divisions between Trump-backed Collins and the Kemp-aligned challenger, left the GOP nominee with limited early general-election momentum. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with polling aggregates and historical base rates for incumbent reelection in competitive states, though variables such as turnout shifts among suburban or rural voters or major late-cycle developments could narrow the gap before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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