Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Qingdao on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and northerly winds of 5–11 m/s, with low precipitation risk. Trader consensus splitting between 29°C (37%) and 30°C (41.5%) reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum temperature outputs, driven by small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects along the coast. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while the tight clustering around these two outcomes underscores limited upside risk from model runs favoring modest warming and the absence of major synoptic shifts in the latest 48-hour guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 1° settembre?
29°C 42%
30°C 36%
28°C 11.0%
31°C 10%
$11,482 Vol.
$11,482 Vol.
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
42%
30°C
36%
31°C
10%
32°C o superiore
2%
29°C 42%
30°C 36%
28°C 11.0%
31°C 10%
$11,482 Vol.
$11,482 Vol.
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
42%
30°C
36%
31°C
10%
32°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Qingdao on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and northerly winds of 5–11 m/s, with low precipitation risk. Trader consensus splitting between 29°C (37%) and 30°C (41.5%) reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum temperature outputs, driven by small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects along the coast. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while the tight clustering around these two outcomes underscores limited upside risk from model runs favoring modest warming and the absence of major synoptic shifts in the latest 48-hour guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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