Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong fundraising edge, name recognition as a two-term governor seeking a third, and the state's consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results. Pritzker has self-funded tens of millions into his campaign, creating a wide resource gap against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who won his March primary but trails significantly in available polling and forecasts. Recent developments, including a mid-September endorsement of Bailey by President Trump, have not altered the market consensus. With early voting approaching and Election Day on November 3, the implied probability favors Pritzker unless unforeseen events such as major scandals, health developments, or sharp shifts in voter turnout intervene.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIllinois Governor Election Winner
Illinois Governor Election Winner
$11,672 Vol.
$11,672 Vol.
2 nov 2026
JB Pritzker (D)
97%
Darren Bailey (R)
2%
$11,672 Vol.
$11,672 Vol.
2 nov 2026
JB Pritzker (D)
$5,430 Vol.
97%
Darren Bailey (R)
$6,241 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong fundraising edge, name recognition as a two-term governor seeking a third, and the state's consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results. Pritzker has self-funded tens of millions into his campaign, creating a wide resource gap against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who won his March primary but trails significantly in available polling and forecasts. Recent developments, including a mid-September endorsement of Bailey by President Trump, have not altered the market consensus. With early voting approaching and Election Day on November 3, the implied probability favors Pritzker unless unforeseen events such as major scandals, health developments, or sharp shifts in voter turnout intervene.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$11,672Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong fundraising edge, name recognition as a two-term governor seeking a third, and the state's consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results. Pritzker has self-funded tens of millions into his campaign, creating a wide resource gap against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who won his March primary but trails significantly in available polling and forecasts. Recent developments, including a mid-September endorsement of Bailey by President Trump, have not altered the market consensus. With early voting approaching and Election Day on November 3, the implied probability favors Pritzker unless unforeseen events such as major scandals, health developments, or sharp shifts in voter turnout intervene.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$11,672Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong fundraising edge, name recognition as a two-term governor seeking a third, and the state's consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results. Pritzker has self-funded tens of millions into his campaign, creating a wide resource gap against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who won his March primary but trails significantly in available polling and forecasts. Recent developments, including a mid-September endorsement of Bailey by President Trump, have not altered the market consensus. With early voting approaching and Election Day on November 3, the implied probability favors Pritzker unless unforeseen events such as major scandals, health developments, or sharp shifts in voter turnout intervene.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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