Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his five prior terms, and prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, supported by Bost's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary. Challenger Julie Fortier, a Democratic Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, emphasizes affordability and constituent access but faces structural barriers including limited resources and the district's southern Illinois base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns and current ratings, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift in voter sentiment before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Bost (R)
98%
Julie Fortier (D)
2%
$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Bost (R)
$14,014 Vol.
98%
Julie Fortier (D)
$11,132 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his five prior terms, and prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, supported by Bost's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary. Challenger Julie Fortier, a Democratic Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, emphasizes affordability and constituent access but faces structural barriers including limited resources and the district's southern Illinois base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns and current ratings, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift in voter sentiment before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$25,146Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his five prior terms, and prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, supported by Bost's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary. Challenger Julie Fortier, a Democratic Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, emphasizes affordability and constituent access but faces structural barriers including limited resources and the district's southern Illinois base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns and current ratings, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift in voter sentiment before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,146Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his five prior terms, and prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, supported by Bost's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary. Challenger Julie Fortier, a Democratic Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, emphasizes affordability and constituent access but faces structural barriers including limited resources and the district's southern Illinois base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns and current ratings, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift in voter sentiment before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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