Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd Congressional District race stems from the seat's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 partisan voter index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. As a long-serving incumbent who secured 85% in the May primary, Guthrie maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million against minimal Democratic resources. Megan Wingfield's primary win has not altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the November general election. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable based on historical patterns and current indicators.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
$13,968 Vol.
$13,968 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
5%
$13,968 Vol.
$13,968 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
$6,297 Vol.
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
$7,671 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd Congressional District race stems from the seat's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 partisan voter index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. As a long-serving incumbent who secured 85% in the May primary, Guthrie maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million against minimal Democratic resources. Megan Wingfield's primary win has not altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the November general election. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable based on historical patterns and current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$13,968Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd Congressional District race stems from the seat's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 partisan voter index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. As a long-serving incumbent who secured 85% in the May primary, Guthrie maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million against minimal Democratic resources. Megan Wingfield's primary win has not altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the November general election. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable based on historical patterns and current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,968Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd Congressional District race stems from the seat's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 partisan voter index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. As a long-serving incumbent who secured 85% in the May primary, Guthrie maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million against minimal Democratic resources. Megan Wingfield's primary win has not altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the November general election. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable based on historical patterns and current indicators.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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