The Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan lean, which has favored the party in recent cycles, combined with his uncontested primary and the absence of major Democratic challengers or polling shifts. Colby Watson emerged from the March Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing rural and suburban counties in the southern Piedmont. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with independent race ratings classifying the contest as solidly or safely Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national political wave, unexpected turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unforeseen issues affecting the incumbent's campaign. The November general election remains the resolution trigger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NC-08
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NC-08
$23,737 Vol.
$23,737 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
$23,737 Vol.
$23,737 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$9,559 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$14,178 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan lean, which has favored the party in recent cycles, combined with his uncontested primary and the absence of major Democratic challengers or polling shifts. Colby Watson emerged from the March Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing rural and suburban counties in the southern Piedmont. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with independent race ratings classifying the contest as solidly or safely Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national political wave, unexpected turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unforeseen issues affecting the incumbent's campaign. The November general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$23,737Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan lean, which has favored the party in recent cycles, combined with his uncontested primary and the absence of major Democratic challengers or polling shifts. Colby Watson emerged from the March Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing rural and suburban counties in the southern Piedmont. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with independent race ratings classifying the contest as solidly or safely Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national political wave, unexpected turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unforeseen issues affecting the incumbent's campaign. The November general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,737Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan lean, which has favored the party in recent cycles, combined with his uncontested primary and the absence of major Democratic challengers or polling shifts. Colby Watson emerged from the March Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing rural and suburban counties in the southern Piedmont. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with independent race ratings classifying the contest as solidly or safely Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national political wave, unexpected turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unforeseen issues affecting the incumbent's campaign. The November general election remains the resolution trigger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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