The withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee report on sexual harassment allegations, followed by his censure, opened the NC-11 seat to a late Republican replacement process that selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom on August 10. This timing has given Democratic nominee Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who won his March primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead, an extended period to consolidate support in the western North Carolina district. Balkcom, endorsed by President Trump and added to the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program in early September, released her first campaign ad on September 10 while emphasizing local roots and post-Helene recovery work. Traders appear to view the scandal-driven candidate switch and Ager’s resource and name-recognition advantages as tilting the race toward the Democrat in a district that favored Republicans in prior cycles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$15,862 Vol.
$15,862 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Jamie Ager (D)
64%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)
37%
$15,862 Vol.
$15,862 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Jamie Ager (D)
$7,358 Vol.
64%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)
$8,504 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee report on sexual harassment allegations, followed by his censure, opened the NC-11 seat to a late Republican replacement process that selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom on August 10. This timing has given Democratic nominee Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who won his March primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead, an extended period to consolidate support in the western North Carolina district. Balkcom, endorsed by President Trump and added to the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program in early September, released her first campaign ad on September 10 while emphasizing local roots and post-Helene recovery work. Traders appear to view the scandal-driven candidate switch and Ager’s resource and name-recognition advantages as tilting the race toward the Democrat in a district that favored Republicans in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$15,862Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee report on sexual harassment allegations, followed by his censure, opened the NC-11 seat to a late Republican replacement process that selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom on August 10. This timing has given Democratic nominee Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who won his March primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead, an extended period to consolidate support in the western North Carolina district. Balkcom, endorsed by President Trump and added to the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program in early September, released her first campaign ad on September 10 while emphasizing local roots and post-Helene recovery work. Traders appear to view the scandal-driven candidate switch and Ager’s resource and name-recognition advantages as tilting the race toward the Democrat in a district that favored Republicans in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,862Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee report on sexual harassment allegations, followed by his censure, opened the NC-11 seat to a late Republican replacement process that selected state Representative Jennifer Balkcom on August 10. This timing has given Democratic nominee Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who won his March primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead, an extended period to consolidate support in the western North Carolina district. Balkcom, endorsed by President Trump and added to the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program in early September, released her first campaign ad on September 10 while emphasizing local roots and post-Helene recovery work. Traders appear to view the scandal-driven candidate switch and Ager’s resource and name-recognition advantages as tilting the race toward the Democrat in a district that favored Republicans in prior cycles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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