August Pfluger holds a commanding position in the TX-11 race because the district remains one of the most Republican-leaning in the country, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As incumbent, Pfluger secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, raised over $3 million through June, and maintains strong ties to local energy and security priorities in areas such as the Permian Basin. Reynolds won the Democratic primary but trails sharply in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a seat that has delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Pfluger aligns with these fundamentals; late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-11 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
TX-11 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$32,191 Vol.
$32,191 Vol.
2 nov 2026
August Pfluger (R)
94%
Claire Reynolds (D)
6%
$32,191 Vol.
$32,191 Vol.
2 nov 2026
August Pfluger (R)
$8,893 Vol.
94%
Claire Reynolds (D)
$23,298 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).August Pfluger holds a commanding position in the TX-11 race because the district remains one of the most Republican-leaning in the country, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As incumbent, Pfluger secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, raised over $3 million through June, and maintains strong ties to local energy and security priorities in areas such as the Permian Basin. Reynolds won the Democratic primary but trails sharply in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a seat that has delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Pfluger aligns with these fundamentals; late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$32,191Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).August Pfluger holds a commanding position in the TX-11 race because the district remains one of the most Republican-leaning in the country, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As incumbent, Pfluger secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, raised over $3 million through June, and maintains strong ties to local energy and security priorities in areas such as the Permian Basin. Reynolds won the Democratic primary but trails sharply in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a seat that has delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Pfluger aligns with these fundamentals; late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,191Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...August Pfluger holds a commanding position in the TX-11 race because the district remains one of the most Republican-leaning in the country, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As incumbent, Pfluger secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, raised over $3 million through June, and maintains strong ties to local energy and security priorities in areas such as the Permian Basin. Reynolds won the Democratic primary but trails sharply in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a seat that has delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Pfluger aligns with these fundamentals; late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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