Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a 69% implied probability in the Colorado 4th District House race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and a Partisan Voter Index of R+9. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the June 30 primaries, setting up a November 3 general election where Boebert's incumbency and the district's eastern plains base provide a structural edge despite her historically narrow margins. Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, has narrowed the gap to 30% through superior fundraising exceeding $10 million and cash reserves over $3 million versus Boebert's roughly $250,000, allowing broader advertising reach in a district that includes shifting Douglas County suburbs. Recent reports on Boebert family legal matters and her limited campaign spending have sustained challenger momentum without overcoming the underlying partisan fundamentals reflected in trader pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCO-04 House Election Winner
CO-04 House Election Winner
$14,547 Vol.
$14,547 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Lauren Boebert (R)
69%
Eileen Laubacher (D)
30%
$14,547 Vol.
$14,547 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Lauren Boebert (R)
$10,627 Vol.
69%
Eileen Laubacher (D)
$3,919 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a 69% implied probability in the Colorado 4th District House race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and a Partisan Voter Index of R+9. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the June 30 primaries, setting up a November 3 general election where Boebert's incumbency and the district's eastern plains base provide a structural edge despite her historically narrow margins. Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, has narrowed the gap to 30% through superior fundraising exceeding $10 million and cash reserves over $3 million versus Boebert's roughly $250,000, allowing broader advertising reach in a district that includes shifting Douglas County suburbs. Recent reports on Boebert family legal matters and her limited campaign spending have sustained challenger momentum without overcoming the underlying partisan fundamentals reflected in trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,547Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a 69% implied probability in the Colorado 4th District House race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and a Partisan Voter Index of R+9. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the June 30 primaries, setting up a November 3 general election where Boebert's incumbency and the district's eastern plains base provide a structural edge despite her historically narrow margins. Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, has narrowed the gap to 30% through superior fundraising exceeding $10 million and cash reserves over $3 million versus Boebert's roughly $250,000, allowing broader advertising reach in a district that includes shifting Douglas County suburbs. Recent reports on Boebert family legal matters and her limited campaign spending have sustained challenger momentum without overcoming the underlying partisan fundamentals reflected in trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,547Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a 69% implied probability in the Colorado 4th District House race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024 and a Partisan Voter Index of R+9. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the June 30 primaries, setting up a November 3 general election where Boebert's incumbency and the district's eastern plains base provide a structural edge despite her historically narrow margins. Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, has narrowed the gap to 30% through superior fundraising exceeding $10 million and cash reserves over $3 million versus Boebert's roughly $250,000, allowing broader advertising reach in a district that includes shifting Douglas County suburbs. Recent reports on Boebert family legal matters and her limited campaign spending have sustained challenger momentum without overcoming the underlying partisan fundamentals reflected in trader pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti