Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis maintains a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and southern Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, her unopposed primary, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.7 million compared to DeCillis’s roughly $68,000. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and DeCillis’s prior unsuccessful bids. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent major developments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout wave, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-11
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-11
$26,178 Vol.
$26,178 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
93%
Michael DeCillis (D)
7%
$26,178 Vol.
$26,178 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
$12,885 Vol.
93%
Michael DeCillis (D)
$13,293 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis maintains a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and southern Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, her unopposed primary, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.7 million compared to DeCillis’s roughly $68,000. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and DeCillis’s prior unsuccessful bids. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent major developments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout wave, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$26,178Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis maintains a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and southern Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, her unopposed primary, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.7 million compared to DeCillis’s roughly $68,000. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and DeCillis’s prior unsuccessful bids. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent major developments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout wave, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,178Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis maintains a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and southern Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, her unopposed primary, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.7 million compared to DeCillis’s roughly $68,000. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and DeCillis’s prior unsuccessful bids. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent major developments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout wave, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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