Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the November 2026 general election in New Jersey’s 11th congressional district because she is the sitting incumbent who already defeated Joe Hathaway by roughly 21 points in the April 2026 special election. She consolidated Democratic support after a competitive primary, benefits from the district’s consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, and faces no evident primary or fundraising threats. Hathaway, the Republican nominee, ran unopposed in his primary but has not closed the gap since the special election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major national partisan swing, late-breaking personal or ethical issues for Mejia, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban Morris and Essex counties, though none of these factors currently appear in polling or campaign data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$42,481 Vol.
$42,481 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
5%
$42,481 Vol.
$42,481 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
$23,615 Vol.
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
$18,866 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the November 2026 general election in New Jersey’s 11th congressional district because she is the sitting incumbent who already defeated Joe Hathaway by roughly 21 points in the April 2026 special election. She consolidated Democratic support after a competitive primary, benefits from the district’s consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, and faces no evident primary or fundraising threats. Hathaway, the Republican nominee, ran unopposed in his primary but has not closed the gap since the special election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major national partisan swing, late-breaking personal or ethical issues for Mejia, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban Morris and Essex counties, though none of these factors currently appear in polling or campaign data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$42,481Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the November 2026 general election in New Jersey’s 11th congressional district because she is the sitting incumbent who already defeated Joe Hathaway by roughly 21 points in the April 2026 special election. She consolidated Democratic support after a competitive primary, benefits from the district’s consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, and faces no evident primary or fundraising threats. Hathaway, the Republican nominee, ran unopposed in his primary but has not closed the gap since the special election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major national partisan swing, late-breaking personal or ethical issues for Mejia, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban Morris and Essex counties, though none of these factors currently appear in polling or campaign data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,481Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the November 2026 general election in New Jersey’s 11th congressional district because she is the sitting incumbent who already defeated Joe Hathaway by roughly 21 points in the April 2026 special election. She consolidated Democratic support after a competitive primary, benefits from the district’s consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, and faces no evident primary or fundraising threats. Hathaway, the Republican nominee, ran unopposed in his primary but has not closed the gap since the special election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major national partisan swing, late-breaking personal or ethical issues for Mejia, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban Morris and Essex counties, though none of these factors currently appear in polling or campaign data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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