Lee Shu-chuan holds an 80% implied probability in the New Taipei mayoral market due to his status as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following his April 2026 primary victory over Huang Kuo-chang, who suspended his independent bid and pledged support. This opposition consolidation, combined with backing from term-limited incumbent Hou Yu-ih and Lee's prior service as deputy mayor in multiple municipalities, has shaped trader views of a structurally advantaged campaign ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee, sits at 20.5% amid mixed polling, including a late-August survey showing her ahead by 5.6 points. Huang remains at 0.1% after withdrawing from contention. Candidate registration opens August 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei
Nuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei
Lee Shu-chuan 80%
Su Chiao-hui 21%
Huang Kuo-chang <1%
$11,079 Vol.
$11,079 Vol.
30 giu 2027
Lee Shu-chuan
80%
Su Chiao-hui
21%
Huang Kuo-chang
<1%
Lee Shu-chuan 80%
Su Chiao-hui 21%
Huang Kuo-chang <1%
$11,079 Vol.
$11,079 Vol.
30 giu 2027
Lee Shu-chuan
$2,261 Vol.
80%
Su Chiao-hui
$7,647 Vol.
21%
Huang Kuo-chang
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds an 80% implied probability in the New Taipei mayoral market due to his status as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following his April 2026 primary victory over Huang Kuo-chang, who suspended his independent bid and pledged support. This opposition consolidation, combined with backing from term-limited incumbent Hou Yu-ih and Lee's prior service as deputy mayor in multiple municipalities, has shaped trader views of a structurally advantaged campaign ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee, sits at 20.5% amid mixed polling, including a late-August survey showing her ahead by 5.6 points. Huang remains at 0.1% after withdrawing from contention. Candidate registration opens August 31.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET
Volume
$11,079Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds an 80% implied probability in the New Taipei mayoral market due to his status as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following his April 2026 primary victory over Huang Kuo-chang, who suspended his independent bid and pledged support. This opposition consolidation, combined with backing from term-limited incumbent Hou Yu-ih and Lee's prior service as deputy mayor in multiple municipalities, has shaped trader views of a structurally advantaged campaign ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee, sits at 20.5% amid mixed polling, including a late-August survey showing her ahead by 5.6 points. Huang remains at 0.1% after withdrawing from contention. Candidate registration opens August 31.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$11,079Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Lee Shu-chuan holds an 80% implied probability in the New Taipei mayoral market due to his status as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following his April 2026 primary victory over Huang Kuo-chang, who suspended his independent bid and pledged support. This opposition consolidation, combined with backing from term-limited incumbent Hou Yu-ih and Lee's prior service as deputy mayor in multiple municipalities, has shaped trader views of a structurally advantaged campaign ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee, sits at 20.5% amid mixed polling, including a late-August survey showing her ahead by 5.6 points. Huang remains at 0.1% after withdrawing from contention. Candidate registration opens August 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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