Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race due to the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for the Central New York district, which includes Syracuse and Utica, combined with his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand versus roughly $186,000 for challenger Kailee Buller. Mannion's uncontested Democratic primary and recent legislative actions, including securing federal disaster aid commitments for local growers, reinforce his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Buller, a first-time Republican candidate with agriculture industry ties who advanced unopposed, faces structural barriers in a district that has trended away from competitive Republican performance in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in national midterm dynamics could still alter the outcome, though current polling trends and resource gaps limit their near-term impact on trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$22,693 Vol.
$22,693 Vol.
4 nov 2026
John Mannion (D)
94%
Kailee Buller (R)
6%
$22,693 Vol.
$22,693 Vol.
4 nov 2026
John Mannion (D)
$11,334 Vol.
94%
Kailee Buller (R)
$11,358 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race due to the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for the Central New York district, which includes Syracuse and Utica, combined with his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand versus roughly $186,000 for challenger Kailee Buller. Mannion's uncontested Democratic primary and recent legislative actions, including securing federal disaster aid commitments for local growers, reinforce his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Buller, a first-time Republican candidate with agriculture industry ties who advanced unopposed, faces structural barriers in a district that has trended away from competitive Republican performance in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in national midterm dynamics could still alter the outcome, though current polling trends and resource gaps limit their near-term impact on trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$22,693Data di fine
5 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race due to the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for the Central New York district, which includes Syracuse and Utica, combined with his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand versus roughly $186,000 for challenger Kailee Buller. Mannion's uncontested Democratic primary and recent legislative actions, including securing federal disaster aid commitments for local growers, reinforce his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Buller, a first-time Republican candidate with agriculture industry ties who advanced unopposed, faces structural barriers in a district that has trended away from competitive Republican performance in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in national midterm dynamics could still alter the outcome, though current polling trends and resource gaps limit their near-term impact on trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,693Data di fine
5 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race due to the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for the Central New York district, which includes Syracuse and Utica, combined with his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand versus roughly $186,000 for challenger Kailee Buller. Mannion's uncontested Democratic primary and recent legislative actions, including securing federal disaster aid commitments for local growers, reinforce his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Buller, a first-time Republican candidate with agriculture industry ties who advanced unopposed, faces structural barriers in a district that has trended away from competitive Republican performance in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in national midterm dynamics could still alter the outcome, though current polling trends and resource gaps limit their near-term impact on trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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