**CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly confirmed Perplexity’s plan to target an IPO no earlier than 2028, a stance reiterated in June 2026 interviews even as OpenAI and Anthropic advanced their own filings.** This explicit timeline, unchanged amid peer activity and SpaceX’s listing, drives the 63% market-implied probability of no IPO before 2028 by signaling deliberate pacing to scale the AI search platform’s revenue and agent capabilities. Recent reports show annualized revenue reaching over $750 million, with Nvidia-linked talks exploring a $30 billion-plus valuation—up from the prior $20 billion mark—yet these developments reinforce staying private rather than accelerating an exit. Traders appear to view the 2028 window as firm, limiting near-term IPO scenarios while leaving longer-term market-cap outcomes more dispersed due to execution and competitive risks in the large language model space.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPerplessità IPO Chiusura Market Cap
Perplessità IPO Chiusura Market Cap
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028 63%
<20 miliardi 8.0%
50–75 miliardi 6.9%
75–100 miliardi 5.5%
$147,999 Vol.
$147,999 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<20 miliardi
8%
20–30 miliardi
5%
30–40 miliardi
4%
40–50 miliardi
3%
50–75 miliardi
7%
75–100 miliardi
6%
Oltre 100 miliardi
4%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
63%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028 63%
<20 miliardi 8.0%
50–75 miliardi 6.9%
75–100 miliardi 5.5%
$147,999 Vol.
$147,999 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<20 miliardi
$4,913 Vol.
8%
20–30 miliardi
$7,935 Vol.
5%
30–40 miliardi
$4,993 Vol.
4%
40–50 miliardi
$4,626 Vol.
3%
50–75 miliardi
$6,926 Vol.
7%
75–100 miliardi
$4,078 Vol.
6%
Oltre 100 miliardi
$5,440 Vol.
4%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
$109,088 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly confirmed Perplexity’s plan to target an IPO no earlier than 2028, a stance reiterated in June 2026 interviews even as OpenAI and Anthropic advanced their own filings.** This explicit timeline, unchanged amid peer activity and SpaceX’s listing, drives the 63% market-implied probability of no IPO before 2028 by signaling deliberate pacing to scale the AI search platform’s revenue and agent capabilities. Recent reports show annualized revenue reaching over $750 million, with Nvidia-linked talks exploring a $30 billion-plus valuation—up from the prior $20 billion mark—yet these developments reinforce staying private rather than accelerating an exit. Traders appear to view the 2028 window as firm, limiting near-term IPO scenarios while leaving longer-term market-cap outcomes more dispersed due to execution and competitive risks in the large language model space.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$147,999Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly confirmed Perplexity’s plan to target an IPO no earlier than 2028, a stance reiterated in June 2026 interviews even as OpenAI and Anthropic advanced their own filings.** This explicit timeline, unchanged amid peer activity and SpaceX’s listing, drives the 63% market-implied probability of no IPO before 2028 by signaling deliberate pacing to scale the AI search platform’s revenue and agent capabilities. Recent reports show annualized revenue reaching over $750 million, with Nvidia-linked talks exploring a $30 billion-plus valuation—up from the prior $20 billion mark—yet these developments reinforce staying private rather than accelerating an exit. Traders appear to view the 2028 window as firm, limiting near-term IPO scenarios while leaving longer-term market-cap outcomes more dispersed due to execution and competitive risks in the large language model space.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$147,999Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly confirmed Perplexity’s plan to target an IPO no earlier than 2028, a stance reiterated in June 2026 interviews even as OpenAI and Anthropic advanced their own filings.** This explicit timeline, unchanged amid peer activity and SpaceX’s listing, drives the 63% market-implied probability of no IPO before 2028 by signaling deliberate pacing to scale the AI search platform’s revenue and agent capabilities. Recent reports show annualized revenue reaching over $750 million, with Nvidia-linked talks exploring a $30 billion-plus valuation—up from the prior $20 billion mark—yet these developments reinforce staying private rather than accelerating an exit. Traders appear to view the 2028 window as firm, limiting near-term IPO scenarios while leaving longer-term market-cap outcomes more dispersed due to execution and competitive risks in the large language model space.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?
56%
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
43%
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Anthropic sarà pari o superiore a 600 miliardi di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?
96%
Sì
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