Recent surges in oil prices above $87 per barrel, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant catalyst supporting the 66.5% market-implied probability of August 2026 PPI final demand rising 5.1% or more year-over-year. July’s 4.7% print, which cooled from June’s 5.5% amid sharp energy declines, established a favorable base effect that analysts expect to reverse with a 0.4% monthly advance. Persistent services price pressures and commodity input costs further anchor trader consensus around elevated readings near the 5.2–5.3% consensus forecast. The September 10 release, timed just ahead of the FOMC meeting, embeds these upstream dynamics into market-implied odds while leaving room for last-minute data surprises to shift probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato5,1%+ 74%
4,9% 8.5%
5,0% 5.3%
4,6% 4.5%
$20,187 Vol.
$20,187 Vol.
10 set 2026
≤4,2%
1%
4,3%
1%
4,4%
1%
4,5%
2%
4,6%
5%
4,7%
4%
4,8%
4%
4,9%
8%
5,0%
5%
5,1%+
64%
5,1%+ 74%
4,9% 8.5%
5,0% 5.3%
4,6% 4.5%
$20,187 Vol.
$20,187 Vol.
10 set 2026
≤4,2%
$683 Vol.
1%
4,3%
$451 Vol.
1%
4,4%
$372 Vol.
1%
4,5%
$392 Vol.
2%
4,6%
$331 Vol.
5%
4,7%
$678 Vol.
4%
4,8%
$548 Vol.
4%
4,9%
$782 Vol.
8%
5,0%
$2,835 Vol.
5%
5,1%+
$13,114 Vol.
64%
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent surges in oil prices above $87 per barrel, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant catalyst supporting the 66.5% market-implied probability of August 2026 PPI final demand rising 5.1% or more year-over-year. July’s 4.7% print, which cooled from June’s 5.5% amid sharp energy declines, established a favorable base effect that analysts expect to reverse with a 0.4% monthly advance. Persistent services price pressures and commodity input costs further anchor trader consensus around elevated readings near the 5.2–5.3% consensus forecast. The September 10 release, timed just ahead of the FOMC meeting, embeds these upstream dynamics into market-implied odds while leaving room for last-minute data surprises to shift probabilities.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$20,187Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent surges in oil prices above $87 per barrel, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant catalyst supporting the 66.5% market-implied probability of August 2026 PPI final demand rising 5.1% or more year-over-year. July’s 4.7% print, which cooled from June’s 5.5% amid sharp energy declines, established a favorable base effect that analysts expect to reverse with a 0.4% monthly advance. Persistent services price pressures and commodity input costs further anchor trader consensus around elevated readings near the 5.2–5.3% consensus forecast. The September 10 release, timed just ahead of the FOMC meeting, embeds these upstream dynamics into market-implied odds while leaving room for last-minute data surprises to shift probabilities.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$20,187Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent surges in oil prices above $87 per barrel, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, represent the dominant catalyst supporting the 66.5% market-implied probability of August 2026 PPI final demand rising 5.1% or more year-over-year. July’s 4.7% print, which cooled from June’s 5.5% amid sharp energy declines, established a favorable base effect that analysts expect to reverse with a 0.4% monthly advance. Persistent services price pressures and commodity input costs further anchor trader consensus around elevated readings near the 5.2–5.3% consensus forecast. The September 10 release, timed just ahead of the FOMC meeting, embeds these upstream dynamics into market-implied odds while leaving room for last-minute data surprises to shift probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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