**Recent polling trends position the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) as the strongest contender for second place in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election.** Aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125, drawing from Léger and Pallas Data surveys through early September, show the Parti Québécois (PQ) leading at around 29%, with the CAQ at approximately 24% and the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) close behind at 20-22%. The CAQ has gained ground since the campaign opened, particularly among francophone voters outside Montreal, while the PLQ has lost support. This shift under new CAQ leader Christine Fréchette has elevated the implied probability of a CAQ second-place finish in trader assessments. Regional variations and ongoing debates add uncertainty, but current vote intentions favor the CAQ over the PLQ or smaller parties for the runner-up spot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCAQ 63%
PLQ 20%
PQ 17%
PVQ <1%
$16,945 Vol.
$16,945 Vol.
4 ott 2026
CAQ
63%
PLQ
20%
PQ
17%
PVQ
1%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
CAQ 63%
PLQ 20%
PQ 17%
PVQ <1%
$16,945 Vol.
$16,945 Vol.
4 ott 2026
CAQ
$4,539 Vol.
63%
PLQ
$4,667 Vol.
20%
PQ
$4,111 Vol.
17%
PVQ
$1,226 Vol.
1%
QS
$1,498 Vol.
<1%
PCQ
$904 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Recent polling trends position the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) as the strongest contender for second place in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election.** Aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125, drawing from Léger and Pallas Data surveys through early September, show the Parti Québécois (PQ) leading at around 29%, with the CAQ at approximately 24% and the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) close behind at 20-22%. The CAQ has gained ground since the campaign opened, particularly among francophone voters outside Montreal, while the PLQ has lost support. This shift under new CAQ leader Christine Fréchette has elevated the implied probability of a CAQ second-place finish in trader assessments. Regional variations and ongoing debates add uncertainty, but current vote intentions favor the CAQ over the PLQ or smaller parties for the runner-up spot.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,945Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Recent polling trends position the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) as the strongest contender for second place in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election.** Aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125, drawing from Léger and Pallas Data surveys through early September, show the Parti Québécois (PQ) leading at around 29%, with the CAQ at approximately 24% and the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) close behind at 20-22%. The CAQ has gained ground since the campaign opened, particularly among francophone voters outside Montreal, while the PLQ has lost support. This shift under new CAQ leader Christine Fréchette has elevated the implied probability of a CAQ second-place finish in trader assessments. Regional variations and ongoing debates add uncertainty, but current vote intentions favor the CAQ over the PLQ or smaller parties for the runner-up spot.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$16,945Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling trends position the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) as the strongest contender for second place in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election.** Aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125, drawing from Léger and Pallas Data surveys through early September, show the Parti Québécois (PQ) leading at around 29%, with the CAQ at approximately 24% and the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) close behind at 20-22%. The CAQ has gained ground since the campaign opened, particularly among francophone voters outside Montreal, while the PLQ has lost support. This shift under new CAQ leader Christine Fréchette has elevated the implied probability of a CAQ second-place finish in trader assessments. Regional variations and ongoing debates add uncertainty, but current vote intentions favor the CAQ over the PLQ or smaller parties for the runner-up spot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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