Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Québécois ahead on popular vote near 29 percent, followed by the Coalition Avenir Québec near 23–24 percent, positioning the Quebec Liberal Party in a stable third near 21–22 percent ahead of the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire. Regional patterns reinforce this ordering, with Liberals retaining strength on the Island of Montreal while trailing in suburban and rural ridings where CAQ–PQ contests dominate. The ongoing campaign has produced limited movement since late August, with no major shifts from leadership debates or policy announcements on tariffs and sovereignty that would reorder the middle of the field. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Liberals the highest implied probability of finishing third, while assigning lower probabilities to the CAQ and trailing parties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPLQ 70%
CAQ 20%
PQ 6.5%
QS 1.6%
$10,706 Vol.
$10,706 Vol.
4 ott 2026
PLQ
70%
CAQ
20%
PQ
6%
QS
2%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 70%
CAQ 20%
PQ 6.5%
QS 1.6%
$10,706 Vol.
$10,706 Vol.
4 ott 2026
PLQ
$2,861 Vol.
70%
CAQ
$3,511 Vol.
20%
PQ
$1,363 Vol.
6%
QS
$1,148 Vol.
2%
PCQ
$1,225 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$597 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Québécois ahead on popular vote near 29 percent, followed by the Coalition Avenir Québec near 23–24 percent, positioning the Quebec Liberal Party in a stable third near 21–22 percent ahead of the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire. Regional patterns reinforce this ordering, with Liberals retaining strength on the Island of Montreal while trailing in suburban and rural ridings where CAQ–PQ contests dominate. The ongoing campaign has produced limited movement since late August, with no major shifts from leadership debates or policy announcements on tariffs and sovereignty that would reorder the middle of the field. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Liberals the highest implied probability of finishing third, while assigning lower probabilities to the CAQ and trailing parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$10,706Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Québécois ahead on popular vote near 29 percent, followed by the Coalition Avenir Québec near 23–24 percent, positioning the Quebec Liberal Party in a stable third near 21–22 percent ahead of the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire. Regional patterns reinforce this ordering, with Liberals retaining strength on the Island of Montreal while trailing in suburban and rural ridings where CAQ–PQ contests dominate. The ongoing campaign has produced limited movement since late August, with no major shifts from leadership debates or policy announcements on tariffs and sovereignty that would reorder the middle of the field. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Liberals the highest implied probability of finishing third, while assigning lower probabilities to the CAQ and trailing parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$10,706Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Québécois ahead on popular vote near 29 percent, followed by the Coalition Avenir Québec near 23–24 percent, positioning the Quebec Liberal Party in a stable third near 21–22 percent ahead of the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire. Regional patterns reinforce this ordering, with Liberals retaining strength on the Island of Montreal while trailing in suburban and rural ridings where CAQ–PQ contests dominate. The ongoing campaign has produced limited movement since late August, with no major shifts from leadership debates or policy announcements on tariffs and sovereignty that would reorder the middle of the field. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Liberals the highest implied probability of finishing third, while assigning lower probabilities to the CAQ and trailing parties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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