PQ maintains a steady lead in recent polling averages around 29 percent, well ahead of the CAQ at 23-24 percent and PLQ at 20-22 percent, driven by strong francophone support and a broad desire for change ahead of the October 5 vote. Seat models project the PQ as the clear favorite for the most seats, often a minority government, due to efficient vote distribution despite the popular vote remaining competitive. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has stabilized after earlier gains tied to economic and trade concerns, while the PLQ continues to lose ground and smaller parties like the PCQ consolidate regionally. These trends have held firm over the past two weeks of the campaign.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
Vincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
PQ 74%
CAQ 25%
PLQ 2.5%
PCQ <1%
$892,895 Vol.
$892,895 Vol.
4 ott 2026
PQ
74%
CAQ
25%
PLQ
3%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 74%
CAQ 25%
PLQ 2.5%
PCQ <1%
$892,895 Vol.
$892,895 Vol.
4 ott 2026
PQ
$120,959 Vol.
74%
CAQ
$137,332 Vol.
25%
PLQ
$123,789 Vol.
3%
PCQ
$246,794 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 Vol.
<1%
QS
$106,523 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).PQ maintains a steady lead in recent polling averages around 29 percent, well ahead of the CAQ at 23-24 percent and PLQ at 20-22 percent, driven by strong francophone support and a broad desire for change ahead of the October 5 vote. Seat models project the PQ as the clear favorite for the most seats, often a minority government, due to efficient vote distribution despite the popular vote remaining competitive. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has stabilized after earlier gains tied to economic and trade concerns, while the PLQ continues to lose ground and smaller parties like the PCQ consolidate regionally. These trends have held firm over the past two weeks of the campaign.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$892,895Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).PQ maintains a steady lead in recent polling averages around 29 percent, well ahead of the CAQ at 23-24 percent and PLQ at 20-22 percent, driven by strong francophone support and a broad desire for change ahead of the October 5 vote. Seat models project the PQ as the clear favorite for the most seats, often a minority government, due to efficient vote distribution despite the popular vote remaining competitive. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has stabilized after earlier gains tied to economic and trade concerns, while the PLQ continues to lose ground and smaller parties like the PCQ consolidate regionally. These trends have held firm over the past two weeks of the campaign.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$892,895Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...PQ maintains a steady lead in recent polling averages around 29 percent, well ahead of the CAQ at 23-24 percent and PLQ at 20-22 percent, driven by strong francophone support and a broad desire for change ahead of the October 5 vote. Seat models project the PQ as the clear favorite for the most seats, often a minority government, due to efficient vote distribution despite the popular vote remaining competitive. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has stabilized after earlier gains tied to economic and trade concerns, while the PLQ continues to lose ground and smaller parties like the PCQ consolidate regionally. These trends have held firm over the past two weeks of the campaign.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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