São Tomé and Príncipe’s parliamentary election on 27 September 2026 follows incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova’s July re-election as an independent backed by the MLSTP–PSD, which secured over 55% of the presidential vote against the ADI candidate. This outcome has strengthened MLSTP positioning ahead of the legislative contest for the 55-seat National Assembly, where proportional representation determines the majority needed to form the government. Internal ADI divisions, including leadership disputes between factions tied to Patrice Trovoada and Américo Ramos, have reduced that party’s prospects. The MLSTP currently holds 18 seats from 2022 and benefits from recent institutional alignment, while smaller parties and coalitions such as MCI–PS/PUN, Basta, PCD, MDFM, and Nossa Terra face steeper structural barriers in the multi-member districts. Trader consensus reflects these short-term political alignments and limited time for major shifts before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari a São Tomé e Príncipe
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari a São Tomé e Príncipe
MLSTP 90%
ADI 9%
Basta <1%
PCD <1%
$14,969 Vol.
$14,969 Vol.
26 set 2026
MLSTP
90%
ADI
9%
Basta
<1%
PCD
<1%
MDFM
<1%
MCI-PS/PUN
<1%
Nossa Terra
<1%
MLSTP 90%
ADI 9%
Basta <1%
PCD <1%
$14,969 Vol.
$14,969 Vol.
26 set 2026
MLSTP
$7,019 Vol.
90%
ADI
$4,591 Vol.
9%
Basta
$1,012 Vol.
<1%
PCD
$612 Vol.
<1%
MDFM
$662 Vol.
<1%
MCI-PS/PUN
$537 Vol.
<1%
Nossa Terra
$537 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.São Tomé and Príncipe’s parliamentary election on 27 September 2026 follows incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova’s July re-election as an independent backed by the MLSTP–PSD, which secured over 55% of the presidential vote against the ADI candidate. This outcome has strengthened MLSTP positioning ahead of the legislative contest for the 55-seat National Assembly, where proportional representation determines the majority needed to form the government. Internal ADI divisions, including leadership disputes between factions tied to Patrice Trovoada and Américo Ramos, have reduced that party’s prospects. The MLSTP currently holds 18 seats from 2022 and benefits from recent institutional alignment, while smaller parties and coalitions such as MCI–PS/PUN, Basta, PCD, MDFM, and Nossa Terra face steeper structural barriers in the multi-member districts. Trader consensus reflects these short-term political alignments and limited time for major shifts before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volume
$14,969Data di fine
27 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.São Tomé and Príncipe’s parliamentary election on 27 September 2026 follows incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova’s July re-election as an independent backed by the MLSTP–PSD, which secured over 55% of the presidential vote against the ADI candidate. This outcome has strengthened MLSTP positioning ahead of the legislative contest for the 55-seat National Assembly, where proportional representation determines the majority needed to form the government. Internal ADI divisions, including leadership disputes between factions tied to Patrice Trovoada and Américo Ramos, have reduced that party’s prospects. The MLSTP currently holds 18 seats from 2022 and benefits from recent institutional alignment, while smaller parties and coalitions such as MCI–PS/PUN, Basta, PCD, MDFM, and Nossa Terra face steeper structural barriers in the multi-member districts. Trader consensus reflects these short-term political alignments and limited time for major shifts before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
Volume
$14,969Data di fine
27 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...São Tomé and Príncipe’s parliamentary election on 27 September 2026 follows incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova’s July re-election as an independent backed by the MLSTP–PSD, which secured over 55% of the presidential vote against the ADI candidate. This outcome has strengthened MLSTP positioning ahead of the legislative contest for the 55-seat National Assembly, where proportional representation determines the majority needed to form the government. Internal ADI divisions, including leadership disputes between factions tied to Patrice Trovoada and Américo Ramos, have reduced that party’s prospects. The MLSTP currently holds 18 seats from 2022 and benefits from recent institutional alignment, while smaller parties and coalitions such as MCI–PS/PUN, Basta, PCD, MDFM, and Nossa Terra face steeper structural barriers in the multi-member districts. Trader consensus reflects these short-term political alignments and limited time for major shifts before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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