**The market's overwhelming consensus that "The Uprising" opens below $4.5 million domestically (98% implied probability) stems from subdued pre-release tracking, a crowded specialty weekend, and early critical reception.** Paul Greengrass’s historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, starring Andrew Garfield, launched wide on roughly 2,055 screens on September 11 alongside higher-profile titles including *Practical Magic 2*. Early reviews have been mixed at best, with some outlets criticizing the bleak tone and signature shaky-cam style while noting solid performances and action sequences. Limited marketing visibility for this R-rated Focus Features/Blumhouse release has kept audience awareness low, aligning with typical results for similar mid-tier historical epics lacking major franchise IP. Key swing factors that could still produce an upset above $4.5 million include stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth from Garfield’s fanbase or a softer-than-forecast performance from competing releases, though current industry signals point to a modest debut consistent with the market’s heavy favorite. The three-day totals (September 11–13) will resolve the market once final figures are reported.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBox Office del weekend di apertura di "The Uprising"
Box Office del weekend di apertura di "The Uprising"
<4,5 milioni 97.8%
4,5-5,5 milioni 2.9%
5,5-6,5 milioni <1%
6,5-7,5 milioni <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
<4,5 milioni
98%
4,5-5,5 milioni
3%
5,5-6,5 milioni
1%
6,5-7,5 milioni
1%
7,5 milioni+
<1%
<4,5 milioni 97.8%
4,5-5,5 milioni 2.9%
5,5-6,5 milioni <1%
6,5-7,5 milioni <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
<4,5 milioni
$2,488 Vol.
98%
4,5-5,5 milioni
$865 Vol.
3%
5,5-6,5 milioni
$393 Vol.
1%
6,5-7,5 milioni
$353 Vol.
1%
7,5 milioni+
$481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The market's overwhelming consensus that "The Uprising" opens below $4.5 million domestically (98% implied probability) stems from subdued pre-release tracking, a crowded specialty weekend, and early critical reception.**
Paul Greengrass’s historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, starring Andrew Garfield, launched wide on roughly 2,055 screens on September 11 alongside higher-profile titles including *Practical Magic 2*. Early reviews have been mixed at best, with some outlets criticizing the bleak tone and signature shaky-cam style while noting solid performances and action sequences. Limited marketing visibility for this R-rated Focus Features/Blumhouse release has kept audience awareness low, aligning with typical results for similar mid-tier historical epics lacking major franchise IP.
Key swing factors that could still produce an upset above $4.5 million include stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth from Garfield’s fanbase or a softer-than-forecast performance from competing releases, though current industry signals point to a modest debut consistent with the market’s heavy favorite. The three-day totals (September 11–13) will resolve the market once final figures are reported.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$4,581Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The market's overwhelming consensus that "The Uprising" opens below $4.5 million domestically (98% implied probability) stems from subdued pre-release tracking, a crowded specialty weekend, and early critical reception.**
Paul Greengrass’s historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, starring Andrew Garfield, launched wide on roughly 2,055 screens on September 11 alongside higher-profile titles including *Practical Magic 2*. Early reviews have been mixed at best, with some outlets criticizing the bleak tone and signature shaky-cam style while noting solid performances and action sequences. Limited marketing visibility for this R-rated Focus Features/Blumhouse release has kept audience awareness low, aligning with typical results for similar mid-tier historical epics lacking major franchise IP.
Key swing factors that could still produce an upset above $4.5 million include stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth from Garfield’s fanbase or a softer-than-forecast performance from competing releases, though current industry signals point to a modest debut consistent with the market’s heavy favorite. The three-day totals (September 11–13) will resolve the market once final figures are reported.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$4,581Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**The market's overwhelming consensus that "The Uprising" opens below $4.5 million domestically (98% implied probability) stems from subdued pre-release tracking, a crowded specialty weekend, and early critical reception.** Paul Greengrass’s historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, starring Andrew Garfield, launched wide on roughly 2,055 screens on September 11 alongside higher-profile titles including *Practical Magic 2*. Early reviews have been mixed at best, with some outlets criticizing the bleak tone and signature shaky-cam style while noting solid performances and action sequences. Limited marketing visibility for this R-rated Focus Features/Blumhouse release has kept audience awareness low, aligning with typical results for similar mid-tier historical epics lacking major franchise IP. Key swing factors that could still produce an upset above $4.5 million include stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth from Garfield’s fanbase or a softer-than-forecast performance from competing releases, though current industry signals point to a modest debut consistent with the market’s heavy favorite. The three-day totals (September 11–13) will resolve the market once final figures are reported.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti