Recent developments center on the U.S. State Department’s August 2025 decisions to begin restoring staffing at the Beirut embassy after earlier ordered departures of non-essential personnel and family members amid Iran-related tensions. Internal documents indicate Beirut will be among the first posts to see returning diplomats, though initial levels will remain capped below full capacity with ongoing family restrictions. Security alerts through late August 2026 maintain Level 4 travel advisories citing terrorism, unrest, and armed conflict risks tied to Hezbollah and regional actors, while embassy operations continue with limited consular support. Trader assessments reflect these signals of de-escalation alongside persistent volatility in Lebanon’s security environment and any scheduled diplomatic or military reviews that could alter posture.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Stati Uniti evacuano l'ambasciata di Beirut entro...?
Gli Stati Uniti evacuano l'ambasciata di Beirut entro...?
$118,590 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
14%
$118,590 Vol.
31 dicembre
$24,488 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent developments center on the U.S. State Department’s August 2025 decisions to begin restoring staffing at the Beirut embassy after earlier ordered departures of non-essential personnel and family members amid Iran-related tensions. Internal documents indicate Beirut will be among the first posts to see returning diplomats, though initial levels will remain capped below full capacity with ongoing family restrictions. Security alerts through late August 2026 maintain Level 4 travel advisories citing terrorism, unrest, and armed conflict risks tied to Hezbollah and regional actors, while embassy operations continue with limited consular support. Trader assessments reflect these signals of de-escalation alongside persistent volatility in Lebanon’s security environment and any scheduled diplomatic or military reviews that could alter posture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$118,590Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent developments center on the U.S. State Department’s August 2025 decisions to begin restoring staffing at the Beirut embassy after earlier ordered departures of non-essential personnel and family members amid Iran-related tensions. Internal documents indicate Beirut will be among the first posts to see returning diplomats, though initial levels will remain capped below full capacity with ongoing family restrictions. Security alerts through late August 2026 maintain Level 4 travel advisories citing terrorism, unrest, and armed conflict risks tied to Hezbollah and regional actors, while embassy operations continue with limited consular support. Trader assessments reflect these signals of de-escalation alongside persistent volatility in Lebanon’s security environment and any scheduled diplomatic or military reviews that could alter posture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$118,590Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent developments center on the U.S. State Department’s August 2025 decisions to begin restoring staffing at the Beirut embassy after earlier ordered departures of non-essential personnel and family members amid Iran-related tensions. Internal documents indicate Beirut will be among the first posts to see returning diplomats, though initial levels will remain capped below full capacity with ongoing family restrictions. Security alerts through late August 2026 maintain Level 4 travel advisories citing terrorism, unrest, and armed conflict risks tied to Hezbollah and regional actors, while embassy operations continue with limited consular support. Trader assessments reflect these signals of de-escalation alongside persistent volatility in Lebanon’s security environment and any scheduled diplomatic or military reviews that could alter posture.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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