Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO and prioritizing AI safety and alignment work have become the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on OpenAI’s eventual listing valuation. The company’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion provide context, while revenue run rates estimated between $24 billion and $40 billion annually sit against substantial GAAP losses and Altman’s stated preference for a $1 trillion-plus debut. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s planned 2026 offering and secondary-market signals below the last private mark add uncertainty. With leading buckets clustered between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion, markets reflect the tension between OpenAI’s growth trajectory and the hurdles to achieving a premium public valuation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.4%
$2.5T+ 16.2%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15.3%
$131,646 Vol.
$131,646 Vol.
30 giu 2027
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
15%
$1.5T–$1.75T
18%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
8%
$2.5T+
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.4%
$2.5T+ 16.2%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15.3%
$131,646 Vol.
$131,646 Vol.
30 giu 2027
<$1T
$18,922 Vol.
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,064 Vol.
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$7,730 Vol.
15%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,293 Vol.
18%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,600 Vol.
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,616 Vol.
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$8,484 Vol.
8%
$2.5T+
$58,936 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO and prioritizing AI safety and alignment work have become the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on OpenAI’s eventual listing valuation. The company’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion provide context, while revenue run rates estimated between $24 billion and $40 billion annually sit against substantial GAAP losses and Altman’s stated preference for a $1 trillion-plus debut. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s planned 2026 offering and secondary-market signals below the last private mark add uncertainty. With leading buckets clustered between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion, markets reflect the tension between OpenAI’s growth trajectory and the hurdles to achieving a premium public valuation.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$131,646Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO and prioritizing AI safety and alignment work have become the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on OpenAI’s eventual listing valuation. The company’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion provide context, while revenue run rates estimated between $24 billion and $40 billion annually sit against substantial GAAP losses and Altman’s stated preference for a $1 trillion-plus debut. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s planned 2026 offering and secondary-market signals below the last private mark add uncertainty. With leading buckets clustered between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion, markets reflect the tension between OpenAI’s growth trajectory and the hurdles to achieving a premium public valuation.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$131,646Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO and prioritizing AI safety and alignment work have become the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on OpenAI’s eventual listing valuation. The company’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion provide context, while revenue run rates estimated between $24 billion and $40 billion annually sit against substantial GAAP losses and Altman’s stated preference for a $1 trillion-plus debut. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s planned 2026 offering and secondary-market signals below the last private mark add uncertainty. With leading buckets clustered between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion, markets reflect the tension between OpenAI’s growth trajectory and the hurdles to achieving a premium public valuation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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