Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and repeatedly pushed back for additional testing, partner feedback, and refinements—have anchored trader expectations around a mid-to-late October release. With lighter Gemini 3.8 Flash and Live variants shipping in September while the Pro tier remains in internal or limited testing, markets assign the strongest implied probability (50.5%) to October 12–18. Historical cadence between major Pro generations, recent confirmation that Gemini 4 pre-training has begun, and competitive pressure from rival frontier models further support this window, though last-minute technical or regulatory hurdles could still shift the timeline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?
Quando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?
12 ottobre–18 ottobre 51%
19–25 ottobre 14.8%
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre 15%
26 ottobre–1 novembre 5.4%
$60,956 Vol.
$60,956 Vol.
27 set 2026
21 settembre–27 settembre
4%
28 settembre–4 ottobre
3%
5–11 ottobre
5%
12 ottobre–18 ottobre
51%
19–25 ottobre
15%
26 ottobre–1 novembre
5%
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre
15%
12 ottobre–18 ottobre 51%
19–25 ottobre 14.8%
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre 15%
26 ottobre–1 novembre 5.4%
$60,956 Vol.
$60,956 Vol.
27 set 2026
21 settembre–27 settembre
$1,209 Vol.
4%
28 settembre–4 ottobre
$1,899 Vol.
3%
5–11 ottobre
$975 Vol.
5%
12 ottobre–18 ottobre
$6,070 Vol.
51%
19–25 ottobre
$1,813 Vol.
15%
26 ottobre–1 novembre
$1,142 Vol.
5%
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre
$44,097 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and repeatedly pushed back for additional testing, partner feedback, and refinements—have anchored trader expectations around a mid-to-late October release. With lighter Gemini 3.8 Flash and Live variants shipping in September while the Pro tier remains in internal or limited testing, markets assign the strongest implied probability (50.5%) to October 12–18. Historical cadence between major Pro generations, recent confirmation that Gemini 4 pre-training has begun, and competitive pressure from rival frontier models further support this window, though last-minute technical or regulatory hurdles could still shift the timeline.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$60,956Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and repeatedly pushed back for additional testing, partner feedback, and refinements—have anchored trader expectations around a mid-to-late October release. With lighter Gemini 3.8 Flash and Live variants shipping in September while the Pro tier remains in internal or limited testing, markets assign the strongest implied probability (50.5%) to October 12–18. Historical cadence between major Pro generations, recent confirmation that Gemini 4 pre-training has begun, and competitive pressure from rival frontier models further support this window, though last-minute technical or regulatory hurdles could still shift the timeline.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$60,956Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O 2026 and repeatedly pushed back for additional testing, partner feedback, and refinements—have anchored trader expectations around a mid-to-late October release. With lighter Gemini 3.8 Flash and Live variants shipping in September while the Pro tier remains in internal or limited testing, markets assign the strongest implied probability (50.5%) to October 12–18. Historical cadence between major Pro generations, recent confirmation that Gemini 4 pre-training has begun, and competitive pressure from rival frontier models further support this window, though last-minute technical or regulatory hurdles could still shift the timeline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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