Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore holds a commanding position in Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26, and her two-decade tenure representing Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August primary, while Republican nominee Tim Rogers, a repeat challenger, advanced with limited prior support in the district. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot. Trader consensus on Moore's strong lead aligns with historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still influence final results.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera WI-04
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera WI-04
$36,788 Vol.
$36,788 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Gwen Moore (D)
96%
Tim Rogers (R)
1%
$36,788 Vol.
$36,788 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Gwen Moore (D)
$14,357 Vol.
96%
Tim Rogers (R)
$22,431 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore holds a commanding position in Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26, and her two-decade tenure representing Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August primary, while Republican nominee Tim Rogers, a repeat challenger, advanced with limited prior support in the district. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot. Trader consensus on Moore's strong lead aligns with historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still influence final results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$36,788Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore holds a commanding position in Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26, and her two-decade tenure representing Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August primary, while Republican nominee Tim Rogers, a repeat challenger, advanced with limited prior support in the district. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot. Trader consensus on Moore's strong lead aligns with historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still influence final results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,788Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore holds a commanding position in Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+26, and her two-decade tenure representing Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August primary, while Republican nominee Tim Rogers, a repeat challenger, advanced with limited prior support in the district. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot. Trader consensus on Moore's strong lead aligns with historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still influence final results.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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