**Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a commanding position in Alaska’s at-large House race ahead of the November 3 general election.** Recent polls, including those from Alaska Survey Research and Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research in August and September 2026, show Begich leading independent Bill Hill by double digits in both first-round and final ranked-choice voting scenarios, with margins often exceeding 15 points. Hill advanced from the August 18 top-four primary as the strongest non-Republican, while prominent Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew, leaving only lower-polling Democratic options like Eric Hafner. Begich’s incumbency advantage, Trump endorsement, and fundraising edge in a state that supported Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential cycle underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome. No late-breaking developments have altered this positioning, though ranked-choice tabulation and any remaining independent or Democratic consolidation could theoretically narrow the gap in a low-turnout environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$44,923 Vol.
$44,923 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
87%
民主党
6%
$44,923 Vol.
$44,923 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$13,138 Vol.
87%
民主党
$31,784 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a commanding position in Alaska’s at-large House race ahead of the November 3 general election.** Recent polls, including those from Alaska Survey Research and Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research in August and September 2026, show Begich leading independent Bill Hill by double digits in both first-round and final ranked-choice voting scenarios, with margins often exceeding 15 points. Hill advanced from the August 18 top-four primary as the strongest non-Republican, while prominent Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew, leaving only lower-polling Democratic options like Eric Hafner.
Begich’s incumbency advantage, Trump endorsement, and fundraising edge in a state that supported Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential cycle underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome. No late-breaking developments have altered this positioning, though ranked-choice tabulation and any remaining independent or Democratic consolidation could theoretically narrow the gap in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
音量
$44,923終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a commanding position in Alaska’s at-large House race ahead of the November 3 general election.** Recent polls, including those from Alaska Survey Research and Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research in August and September 2026, show Begich leading independent Bill Hill by double digits in both first-round and final ranked-choice voting scenarios, with margins often exceeding 15 points. Hill advanced from the August 18 top-four primary as the strongest non-Republican, while prominent Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew, leaving only lower-polling Democratic options like Eric Hafner.
Begich’s incumbency advantage, Trump endorsement, and fundraising edge in a state that supported Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential cycle underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome. No late-breaking developments have altered this positioning, though ranked-choice tabulation and any remaining independent or Democratic consolidation could theoretically narrow the gap in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$44,923終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a commanding position in Alaska’s at-large House race ahead of the November 3 general election.** Recent polls, including those from Alaska Survey Research and Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research in August and September 2026, show Begich leading independent Bill Hill by double digits in both first-round and final ranked-choice voting scenarios, with margins often exceeding 15 points. Hill advanced from the August 18 top-four primary as the strongest non-Republican, while prominent Democrat Matt Schultz withdrew, leaving only lower-polling Democratic options like Eric Hafner. Begich’s incumbency advantage, Trump endorsement, and fundraising edge in a state that supported Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential cycle underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome. No late-breaking developments have altered this positioning, though ranked-choice tabulation and any remaining independent or Democratic consolidation could theoretically narrow the gap in a low-turnout environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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