Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st congressional district in the August 11, 2026 special primary with 74.6 percent of the vote, benefiting from name recognition as a former representative, an endorsement from President Trump, and a redrawn map that strengthened the district's Republican lean. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Clyde Jones Jr., the unopposed Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district with a strong partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or unexpected national events could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,300 Vol.
$48,300 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェリー・カール（共和党）
95%
クライド・ジョーンズ・ジュニア（民主党）
4%
$48,300 Vol.
$48,300 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェリー・カール（共和党）
$21,635 Vol.
95%
クライド・ジョーンズ・ジュニア（民主党）
$26,665 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st congressional district in the August 11, 2026 special primary with 74.6 percent of the vote, benefiting from name recognition as a former representative, an endorsement from President Trump, and a redrawn map that strengthened the district's Republican lean. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Clyde Jones Jr., the unopposed Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district with a strong partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or unexpected national events could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
音量
$48,300終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st congressional district in the August 11, 2026 special primary with 74.6 percent of the vote, benefiting from name recognition as a former representative, an endorsement from President Trump, and a redrawn map that strengthened the district's Republican lean. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Clyde Jones Jr., the unopposed Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district with a strong partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or unexpected national events could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$48,300終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st congressional district in the August 11, 2026 special primary with 74.6 percent of the vote, benefiting from name recognition as a former representative, an endorsement from President Trump, and a redrawn map that strengthened the district's Republican lean. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Clyde Jones Jr., the unopposed Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district with a strong partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or unexpected national events could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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