Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District general election due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic challenger Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist and political newcomer who also faced no primary contest. Historical results show Crawford securing large margins in prior cycles, underscoring the limited path for any challenger in this Northeast Arkansas seat. Scenarios that could realistically shift trader consensus remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,840 Vol.
$26,840 Vol.
2026/11/02
リック・クロフォード（共和党）
98%
テリ・グリーン（民主党）
2%
$26,840 Vol.
$26,840 Vol.
2026/11/02
リック・クロフォード（共和党）
$16,491 Vol.
98%
テリ・グリーン（民主党）
$10,349 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District general election due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic challenger Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist and political newcomer who also faced no primary contest. Historical results show Crawford securing large margins in prior cycles, underscoring the limited path for any challenger in this Northeast Arkansas seat. Scenarios that could realistically shift trader consensus remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$26,840終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District general election due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic challenger Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist and political newcomer who also faced no primary contest. Historical results show Crawford securing large margins in prior cycles, underscoring the limited path for any challenger in this Northeast Arkansas seat. Scenarios that could realistically shift trader consensus remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,840終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District general election due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic challenger Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist and political newcomer who also faced no primary contest. Historical results show Crawford securing large margins in prior cycles, underscoring the limited path for any challenger in this Northeast Arkansas seat. Scenarios that could realistically shift trader consensus remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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