Incumbent Republican Steve Womack holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s strong Republican lean and his long record of victories with margins above 60 percent. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed after the March 2026 primaries were canceled, leaving Womack to face Democrat Robb Ryerse and Libertarian Bobby Wilson on November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan makeup and Womack’s substantial fundraising advantage. Ryerse’s limited resources and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept the implied probability of an upset low. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,328 Vol.
$17,328 Vol.
2026/11/02
スティーブ・ウーマック（共和党）
95%
ロブ・ライヤース（民主党）
6%
$17,328 Vol.
$17,328 Vol.
2026/11/02
スティーブ・ウーマック（共和党）
$9,915 Vol.
95%
ロブ・ライヤース（民主党）
$7,413 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s strong Republican lean and his long record of victories with margins above 60 percent. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed after the March 2026 primaries were canceled, leaving Womack to face Democrat Robb Ryerse and Libertarian Bobby Wilson on November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan makeup and Womack’s substantial fundraising advantage. Ryerse’s limited resources and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept the implied probability of an upset low. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$17,328終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s strong Republican lean and his long record of victories with margins above 60 percent. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed after the March 2026 primaries were canceled, leaving Womack to face Democrat Robb Ryerse and Libertarian Bobby Wilson on November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan makeup and Womack’s substantial fundraising advantage. Ryerse’s limited resources and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept the implied probability of an upset low. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,328終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Womack holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s strong Republican lean and his long record of victories with margins above 60 percent. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed after the March 2026 primaries were canceled, leaving Womack to face Democrat Robb Ryerse and Libertarian Bobby Wilson on November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan makeup and Womack’s substantial fundraising advantage. Ryerse’s limited resources and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept the implied probability of an upset low. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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