Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and Hill's 59% victory that year. As chair of the House Financial Services Committee, Hill benefits from incumbency advantages, strong fundraising exceeding $4.4 million, and easy primary wins in March 2026. Democrat Chris Jones, a nuclear engineer and 2022 gubernatorial nominee, has raised over $1.1 million and secured endorsements from national figures, yet faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn to favor Republicans. A single August 2026 Hendrix College poll showed Jones ahead 48-44 among likely voters, but broader forecasting models rate the contest Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus on Hill's strong reelection prospects heading into the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,244 Vol.
$12,244 Vol.
2026/11/02
フレンチ・ヒル（共和党）
87%
クリス・ジョーンズ（民主党）
14%
$12,244 Vol.
$12,244 Vol.
2026/11/02
フレンチ・ヒル（共和党）
$4,224 Vol.
87%
クリス・ジョーンズ（民主党）
$8,020 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and Hill's 59% victory that year. As chair of the House Financial Services Committee, Hill benefits from incumbency advantages, strong fundraising exceeding $4.4 million, and easy primary wins in March 2026. Democrat Chris Jones, a nuclear engineer and 2022 gubernatorial nominee, has raised over $1.1 million and secured endorsements from national figures, yet faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn to favor Republicans. A single August 2026 Hendrix College poll showed Jones ahead 48-44 among likely voters, but broader forecasting models rate the contest Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus on Hill's strong reelection prospects heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$12,244終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and Hill's 59% victory that year. As chair of the House Financial Services Committee, Hill benefits from incumbency advantages, strong fundraising exceeding $4.4 million, and easy primary wins in March 2026. Democrat Chris Jones, a nuclear engineer and 2022 gubernatorial nominee, has raised over $1.1 million and secured endorsements from national figures, yet faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn to favor Republicans. A single August 2026 Hendrix College poll showed Jones ahead 48-44 among likely voters, but broader forecasting models rate the contest Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus on Hill's strong reelection prospects heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,244終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and Hill's 59% victory that year. As chair of the House Financial Services Committee, Hill benefits from incumbency advantages, strong fundraising exceeding $4.4 million, and easy primary wins in March 2026. Democrat Chris Jones, a nuclear engineer and 2022 gubernatorial nominee, has raised over $1.1 million and secured endorsements from national figures, yet faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn to favor Republicans. A single August 2026 Hendrix College poll showed Jones ahead 48-44 among likely voters, but broader forecasting models rate the contest Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus on Hill's strong reelection prospects heading into the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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