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icon for アマパ県知事選挙の勝者

アマパ県知事選挙の勝者

icon for アマパ県知事選挙の勝者

アマパ県知事選挙の勝者

フルラン博士 87%

クレシオ・ルイス 4.6%

マルコス・レアテギ 2.7%

ジャイロ・パルヘタ 2.1%

Polymarket
新規

フルラン博士 87%

クレシオ・ルイス 4.6%

マルコス・レアテギ 2.7%

ジャイロ・パルヘタ 2.1%

Polymarket
新規
icon for フルラン博士

フルラン博士

$8,595 Vol.

87%

icon for クレシオ・ルイス

クレシオ・ルイス

$330 Vol.

5%

icon for マルコス・レアテギ

マルコス・レアテギ

$214 Vol.

3%

icon for ジャイロ・パルヘタ

ジャイロ・パルヘタ

$374 Vol.

2%

icon for カルロス・クレイ

カルロス・クレイ

$163 Vol.

<1%

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds an 87% implied probability in the Amapá governor market due to consistent polling leads of 50–66% in first-round scenarios across multiple September surveys, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 26–39%. Recent polls from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Veritá, and F5 show Furlan positioned for a potential outright win on October 4, supported by his campaign's street-level mobilization and coalition backing since official propaganda began in mid-September. Minor candidates such as Marcos Reategui, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley register under 2%, aligning with their marginal market pricing. A mid-September report alleging administrative issues during Furlan's mayoral term has not shifted the polling trend or trader consensus.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$9,678
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds an 87% implied probability in the Amapá governor market due to consistent polling leads of 50–66% in first-round scenarios across multiple September surveys, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 26–39%. Recent polls from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Veritá, and F5 show Furlan positioned for a potential outright win on October 4, supported by his campaign's street-level mobilization and coalition backing since official propaganda began in mid-September. Minor candidates such as Marcos Reategui, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley register under 2%, aligning with their marginal market pricing. A mid-September report alleging administrative issues during Furlan's mayoral term has not shifted the polling trend or trader consensus.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$9,678
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「アマパ県知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フルラン博士」で87%、次いで「クレシオ・ルイス」が5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、87¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に87%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「アマパ県知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 17, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「アマパ県知事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アマパ県知事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「フルラン博士」で87%であり、市場がこの結果に87%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「クレシオ・ルイス」で5%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アマパ県知事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。