Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds an 87% implied probability in the Amapá governor market due to consistent polling leads of 50–66% in first-round scenarios across multiple September surveys, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 26–39%. Recent polls from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Veritá, and F5 show Furlan positioned for a potential outright win on October 4, supported by his campaign's street-level mobilization and coalition backing since official propaganda began in mid-September. Minor candidates such as Marcos Reategui, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley register under 2%, aligning with their marginal market pricing. A mid-September report alleging administrative issues during Furlan's mayoral term has not shifted the polling trend or trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フルラン博士 87%
クレシオ・ルイス 4.6%
マルコス・レアテギ 2.7%
ジャイロ・パルヘタ 2.1%

フルラン博士
87%

クレシオ・ルイス
5%

マルコス・レアテギ
3%

ジャイロ・パルヘタ
2%

カルロス・クレイ
<1%
フルラン博士 87%
クレシオ・ルイス 4.6%
マルコス・レアテギ 2.7%
ジャイロ・パルヘタ 2.1%

フルラン博士
87%

クレシオ・ルイス
5%

マルコス・レアテギ
3%

ジャイロ・パルヘタ
2%

カルロス・クレイ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds an 87% implied probability in the Amapá governor market due to consistent polling leads of 50–66% in first-round scenarios across multiple September surveys, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 26–39%. Recent polls from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Veritá, and F5 show Furlan positioned for a potential outright win on October 4, supported by his campaign's street-level mobilization and coalition backing since official propaganda began in mid-September. Minor candidates such as Marcos Reategui, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley register under 2%, aligning with their marginal market pricing. A mid-September report alleging administrative issues during Furlan's mayoral term has not shifted the polling trend or trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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