Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エドゥアルド・ブラガ 81%
カピタン・アルベルト・ネト 11.1%
ウィルソン・リマ 2.4%
プリニオ・ヴァレリオ 1.8%
$37,719 Vol.
$37,719 Vol.
2026/10/04
エドゥアルド・ブラガ
81%
カピタン・アルベルト・ネト
11%
ウィルソン・リマ
2%
プリニオ・ヴァレリオ
2%
ダイルソン・コレア
<1%
エヴァンドロ・デ・オリヴェイラ
<1%
イスマエル・ムンドゥルク
<1%
プロフェッサー・エヴァニー
<1%
シュシャ・ド・アマゾナス
<1%
エドゥアルド・ブラガ 81%
カピタン・アルベルト・ネト 11.1%
ウィルソン・リマ 2.4%
プリニオ・ヴァレリオ 1.8%
$37,719 Vol.
$37,719 Vol.
2026/10/04
エドゥアルド・ブラガ
$20,113 Vol.
81%
カピタン・アルベルト・ネト
$6,724 Vol.
11%
ウィルソン・リマ
$3,513 Vol.
2%
プリニオ・ヴァレリオ
$3,517 Vol.
2%
ダイルソン・コレア
$600 Vol.
<1%
エヴァンドロ・デ・オリヴェイラ
$563 Vol.
<1%
イスマエル・ムンドゥルク
$915 Vol.
<1%
プロフェッサー・エヴァニー
$858 Vol.
<1%
シュシャ・ド・アマゾナス
$916 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
音量
$37,719終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$37,719終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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