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icon for パラナ州知事選挙の勝者

パラナ州知事選挙の勝者

icon for パラナ州知事選挙の勝者

パラナ州知事選挙の勝者

セルジオ・モロ 80%

候補者B 20%

アレクサンドレ・クリ 1.0%

レキアン・フィーリョ <1%

Polymarket

$101,882 Vol.

セルジオ・モロ 80%

候補者B 20%

アレクサンドレ・クリ 1.0%

レキアン・フィーリョ <1%

Polymarket

$101,882 Vol.

セルジオ・モロ

$66,855 Vol.

80%

候補者B

$5,183 Vol.

20%

アレクサンドレ・クリ

$3,727 Vol.

1%

レキアン・フィーリョ

$11,007 Vol.

<1%

ベト・リシャ

$2,596 Vol.

<1%

グト・シウヴァ

$2,981 Vol.

<1%

ルイス・フランサ

$2,894 Vol.

<1%

ラファエル・グレカ

$3,261 Vol.

<1%

エニオ・ヴェッリ

$3,396 Vol.

<1%

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$101,882
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$101,882
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「パラナ州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「セルジオ・モロ」で80%、次いで「候補者B」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、80¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に80%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「パラナ州知事選挙の勝者」は$101.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「パラナ州知事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「パラナ州知事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「セルジオ・モロ」で80%であり、市場がこの結果に80%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「候補者B」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「パラナ州知事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。