Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日セルジオ・モロ 80%
候補者B 20%
アレクサンドレ・クリ 1.0%
レキアン・フィーリョ <1%
$101,882 Vol.
$101,882 Vol.
セルジオ・モロ
80%
候補者B
20%
アレクサンドレ・クリ
1%
レキアン・フィーリョ
<1%
ベト・リシャ
<1%
グト・シウヴァ
<1%
ルイス・フランサ
<1%
ラファエル・グレカ
<1%
エニオ・ヴェッリ
<1%
セルジオ・モロ 80%
候補者B 20%
アレクサンドレ・クリ 1.0%
レキアン・フィーリョ <1%
$101,882 Vol.
$101,882 Vol.
セルジオ・モロ
80%
候補者B
20%
アレクサンドレ・クリ
1%
レキアン・フィーリョ
<1%
ベト・リシャ
<1%
グト・シウヴァ
<1%
ルイス・フランサ
<1%
ラファエル・グレカ
<1%
エニオ・ヴェッリ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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