Recent polls ahead of the October 5 Quebec election show the Parti Québécois holding a lead near 28-29% while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec cluster around 22-24%, with the Conservatives and Québec solidaire further back. This positioning has elevated PLQ prospects for second place, as the party has gained modest ground in late-campaign surveys from Léger, Nanos, and others amid CAQ slippage tied to cost-overrun controversies and voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent government. Seat projections from models like 338Canada and Qc125 reinforce a competitive race for official opposition status between the PLQ and CAQ, with regional strengths in Montreal favoring the Liberals. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices tracks these polling trends and the limited time left for major shifts before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PLQ 62%
CAQ 35%
PQ 5.9%
PCQ <1%
$28,377 Vol.
$28,377 Vol.
2026/10/04
PLQ
62%
CAQ
35%
PQ
6%
PCQ
1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 62%
CAQ 35%
PQ 5.9%
PCQ <1%
$28,377 Vol.
$28,377 Vol.
2026/10/04
PLQ
$7,352 Vol.
62%
CAQ
$9,612 Vol.
35%
PQ
$6,439 Vol.
6%
PCQ
$1,787 Vol.
1%
QS
$1,788 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of the October 5 Quebec election show the Parti Québécois holding a lead near 28-29% while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec cluster around 22-24%, with the Conservatives and Québec solidaire further back. This positioning has elevated PLQ prospects for second place, as the party has gained modest ground in late-campaign surveys from Léger, Nanos, and others amid CAQ slippage tied to cost-overrun controversies and voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent government. Seat projections from models like 338Canada and Qc125 reinforce a competitive race for official opposition status between the PLQ and CAQ, with regional strengths in Montreal favoring the Liberals. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices tracks these polling trends and the limited time left for major shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
音量
$28,377終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of the October 5 Quebec election show the Parti Québécois holding a lead near 28-29% while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec cluster around 22-24%, with the Conservatives and Québec solidaire further back. This positioning has elevated PLQ prospects for second place, as the party has gained modest ground in late-campaign surveys from Léger, Nanos, and others amid CAQ slippage tied to cost-overrun controversies and voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent government. Seat projections from models like 338Canada and Qc125 reinforce a competitive race for official opposition status between the PLQ and CAQ, with regional strengths in Montreal favoring the Liberals. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices tracks these polling trends and the limited time left for major shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$28,377終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the October 5 Quebec election show the Parti Québécois holding a lead near 28-29% while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec cluster around 22-24%, with the Conservatives and Québec solidaire further back. This positioning has elevated PLQ prospects for second place, as the party has gained modest ground in late-campaign surveys from Léger, Nanos, and others amid CAQ slippage tied to cost-overrun controversies and voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent government. Seat projections from models like 338Canada and Qc125 reinforce a competitive race for official opposition status between the PLQ and CAQ, with regional strengths in Montreal favoring the Liberals. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices tracks these polling trends and the limited time left for major shifts before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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