Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to sustained polling leads of 63-73% of valid votes in mid-2026 surveys from AtlasIntel and other institutes. His approval ratings remain elevated around 62-67%, supported by record fulfillment of 2022 campaign pledges such as expanding full-time public schools and maintaining fiscal stability through federal partnerships. The opposition remains fragmented, with the nearest challenger, Joel Rodrigues (PP), polling in the low-to-mid 20s and no other candidate exceeding low single digits. Trader consensus prices this dominance at 98.7% for Fonteles, consistent with historical re-election patterns for incumbents enjoying broad approval in the state. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events in the final weeks, including major scandals or turnout surprises, though no such developments have materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ラファエル・フォンテレス 98.8%
エリゼウ・アギアール <1%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ <1%
グスタヴォ・フェイジョ <1%
$52,756 Vol.
$52,756 Vol.
ラファエル・フォンテレス
99%
エリゼウ・アギアール
<1%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ
<1%
グスタヴォ・フェイジョ
<1%
ジョエル・ロドリゲス
<1%
ロウルデス・メロ
<1%
ジスバウド教授
<1%
ジュリティ教授
<1%
ラヴェンナ・ダ・インクルザォン
<1%
サンティアゴ・ベリザリオ
<1%
ドラ・ルシア・サントス
<1%
ラファエル・フォンテレス 98.8%
エリゼウ・アギアール <1%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ <1%
グスタヴォ・フェイジョ <1%
$52,756 Vol.
$52,756 Vol.
ラファエル・フォンテレス
99%
エリゼウ・アギアール
<1%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ
<1%
グスタヴォ・フェイジョ
<1%
ジョエル・ロドリゲス
<1%
ロウルデス・メロ
<1%
ジスバウド教授
<1%
ジュリティ教授
<1%
ラヴェンナ・ダ・インクルザォン
<1%
サンティアゴ・ベリザリオ
<1%
ドラ・ルシア・サントス
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to sustained polling leads of 63-73% of valid votes in mid-2026 surveys from AtlasIntel and other institutes. His approval ratings remain elevated around 62-67%, supported by record fulfillment of 2022 campaign pledges such as expanding full-time public schools and maintaining fiscal stability through federal partnerships. The opposition remains fragmented, with the nearest challenger, Joel Rodrigues (PP), polling in the low-to-mid 20s and no other candidate exceeding low single digits. Trader consensus prices this dominance at 98.7% for Fonteles, consistent with historical re-election patterns for incumbents enjoying broad approval in the state. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events in the final weeks, including major scandals or turnout surprises, though no such developments have materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問