Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September state election show a tight five-way contest for the top positions, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15% and 22% while the SPD trails further back. This narrow spread among the middle-ranking parties leaves the fourth-place slot highly sensitive to small shifts in voter support over the final weeks. Grüne’s consistent mid-teens showing in the latest surveys positions the party as the current frontrunner for fourth in trader assessments, though any surge by the SPD or further gains by AfD or Linke could reorder the finish. The two-week campaign window and potential late turnout variations remain the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日グリューネ 50%
AfD 29%
SPD 15%
CDU 6.7%
$11,522 Vol.
$11,522 Vol.
2026/09/20
グリューネ
50%
AfD
29%
SPD
15%
CDU
7%
リンク
5%
FW
5%
BSW
1%
FDP
1%
グリューネ 50%
AfD 29%
SPD 15%
CDU 6.7%
$11,522 Vol.
$11,522 Vol.
2026/09/20
グリューネ
$5,922 Vol.
50%
AfD
$3,801 Vol.
29%
SPD
$344 Vol.
15%
CDU
$162 Vol.
7%
リンク
$738 Vol.
5%
FW
$189 Vol.
5%
BSW
$212 Vol.
1%
FDP
$154 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September state election show a tight five-way contest for the top positions, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15% and 22% while the SPD trails further back. This narrow spread among the middle-ranking parties leaves the fourth-place slot highly sensitive to small shifts in voter support over the final weeks. Grüne’s consistent mid-teens showing in the latest surveys positions the party as the current frontrunner for fourth in trader assessments, though any surge by the SPD or further gains by AfD or Linke could reorder the finish. The two-week campaign window and potential late turnout variations remain the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
音量
$11,522終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September state election show a tight five-way contest for the top positions, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15% and 22% while the SPD trails further back. This narrow spread among the middle-ranking parties leaves the fourth-place slot highly sensitive to small shifts in voter support over the final weeks. Grüne’s consistent mid-teens showing in the latest surveys positions the party as the current frontrunner for fourth in trader assessments, though any surge by the SPD or further gains by AfD or Linke could reorder the finish. The two-week campaign window and potential late turnout variations remain the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
音量
$11,522終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September state election show a tight five-way contest for the top positions, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15% and 22% while the SPD trails further back. This narrow spread among the middle-ranking parties leaves the fourth-place slot highly sensitive to small shifts in voter support over the final weeks. Grüne’s consistent mid-teens showing in the latest surveys positions the party as the current frontrunner for fourth in trader assessments, though any surge by the SPD or further gains by AfD or Linke could reorder the finish. The two-week campaign window and potential late turnout variations remain the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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