Incumbent Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's post-redistricting composition, which favors Democrats, combined with his long tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand, and strong name recognition. Robb Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or exceptional shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,607 Vol.
$43,607 Vol.
2026/11/02
アミ・ベラ（民主党）
96%
ロブ・タッカー（共和党）
3%
$43,607 Vol.
$43,607 Vol.
2026/11/02
アミ・ベラ（民主党）
$25,988 Vol.
96%
ロブ・タッカー（共和党）
$17,619 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's post-redistricting composition, which favors Democrats, combined with his long tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand, and strong name recognition. Robb Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or exceptional shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$43,607終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's post-redistricting composition, which favors Democrats, combined with his long tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand, and strong name recognition. Robb Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or exceptional shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,607終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd Congressional District race due to the district's post-redistricting composition, which favors Democrats, combined with his long tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand, and strong name recognition. Robb Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or exceptional shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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