The solidly Republican tilt of Colorado's 4th congressional district, where Republican presidential candidates have performed strongly in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Lauren Boebert over Democrat Eileen Laubacher. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June 30 primaries, leaving the November general as a head-to-head contest in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by multiple forecasters. Laubacher's substantial fundraising advantage and profile as a retired Navy rear admiral have narrowed the gap somewhat, yet the district's partisan composition limits her path. A fresh House Ethics Committee complaint filed in mid-September alleging misconduct by Boebert introduces added uncertainty ahead of the vote, though historical patterns in similar districts continue to shape current implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,679 Vol.
$19,679 Vol.
ローレン・ボーベルト(共和党)
70%
アイリーン・ラウバッカー(民主党)
28%
$19,679 Vol.
$19,679 Vol.
ローレン・ボーベルト(共和党)
70%
アイリーン・ラウバッカー(民主党)
28%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican tilt of Colorado's 4th congressional district, where Republican presidential candidates have performed strongly in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Lauren Boebert over Democrat Eileen Laubacher. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June 30 primaries, leaving the November general as a head-to-head contest in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by multiple forecasters. Laubacher's substantial fundraising advantage and profile as a retired Navy rear admiral have narrowed the gap somewhat, yet the district's partisan composition limits her path. A fresh House Ethics Committee complaint filed in mid-September alleging misconduct by Boebert introduces added uncertainty ahead of the vote, though historical patterns in similar districts continue to shape current implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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