Incumbent Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District race, backed by the district’s Democratic lean and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Hoyle secured her party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican Monique DeSpain advanced easily with 87%. Hoyle’s 2024 general-election margin of about eight points established a durable base, and the presence of a large independent voter bloc has not produced measurable shifts against her. DeSpain has kept fundraising competitive through the summer, narrowing cash-on-hand gaps in some reports, yet no polling or structural changes have altered the race’s trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a national partisan wave or unexpected campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,480 Vol.
$22,480 Vol.
2026/11/02
ヴァル・ホイル（民主党）
94%
モニーク・デスパイン（共和党）
6%
$22,480 Vol.
$22,480 Vol.
2026/11/02
ヴァル・ホイル（民主党）
$15,508 Vol.
94%
モニーク・デスパイン（共和党）
$6,972 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District race, backed by the district’s Democratic lean and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Hoyle secured her party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican Monique DeSpain advanced easily with 87%. Hoyle’s 2024 general-election margin of about eight points established a durable base, and the presence of a large independent voter bloc has not produced measurable shifts against her. DeSpain has kept fundraising competitive through the summer, narrowing cash-on-hand gaps in some reports, yet no polling or structural changes have altered the race’s trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a national partisan wave or unexpected campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$22,480終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District race, backed by the district’s Democratic lean and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Hoyle secured her party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican Monique DeSpain advanced easily with 87%. Hoyle’s 2024 general-election margin of about eight points established a durable base, and the presence of a large independent voter bloc has not produced measurable shifts against her. DeSpain has kept fundraising competitive through the summer, narrowing cash-on-hand gaps in some reports, yet no polling or structural changes have altered the race’s trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a national partisan wave or unexpected campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,480終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District race, backed by the district’s Democratic lean and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Hoyle secured her party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican Monique DeSpain advanced easily with 87%. Hoyle’s 2024 general-election margin of about eight points established a durable base, and the presence of a large independent voter bloc has not produced measurable shifts against her. DeSpain has kept fundraising competitive through the summer, narrowing cash-on-hand gaps in some reports, yet no polling or structural changes have altered the race’s trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a national partisan wave or unexpected campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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