Oregon's 3rd congressional district, centered on eastern Portland and parts of Clackamas and Hood River counties, carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook PVI rating and consistent election results. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Dexter's 2024 general-election margin exceeded 42 points in the same district. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns Dexter overwhelming implied probability. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical patterns and the district's structural makeup make such reversals uncommon before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,145 Vol.
$20,145 Vol.
2026/11/02
マキシン・デクスター（民主党）
96%
ローラン・エイルズ（共和党）
4%
$20,145 Vol.
$20,145 Vol.
2026/11/02
マキシン・デクスター（民主党）
$4,811 Vol.
96%
ローラン・エイルズ（共和党）
$15,334 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district, centered on eastern Portland and parts of Clackamas and Hood River counties, carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook PVI rating and consistent election results. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Dexter's 2024 general-election margin exceeded 42 points in the same district. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns Dexter overwhelming implied probability. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical patterns and the district's structural makeup make such reversals uncommon before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$20,145終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district, centered on eastern Portland and parts of Clackamas and Hood River counties, carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook PVI rating and consistent election results. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Dexter's 2024 general-election margin exceeded 42 points in the same district. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns Dexter overwhelming implied probability. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical patterns and the district's structural makeup make such reversals uncommon before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,145終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd congressional district, centered on eastern Portland and parts of Clackamas and Hood River counties, carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook PVI rating and consistent election results. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Dexter's 2024 general-election margin exceeded 42 points in the same district. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns Dexter overwhelming implied probability. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical patterns and the district's structural makeup make such reversals uncommon before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問