Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 16th Congressional District in the August 18 primary with 64 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump and party leadership ties through her husband, the RNC chair. The open seat, previously held by retiring Republican Vern Buchanan, sits in a district with a Republican partisan voter index around R+6 and where Trump carried the 2024 presidential vote by roughly 8–14 points. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Kirschner, the Democratic nominee and former Sarasota mayor, won his primary and has highlighted a late-August poll showing a statistical tie, yet the district’s fundamentals and Gruters’ fundraising and endorsements sustain trader consensus favoring the Republican in the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,762 Vol.
$25,762 Vol.
2026/11/02
シドニー・グルーターズ（共和党）
84%
ケリー・カーシュナー（民主党）
16%
$25,762 Vol.
$25,762 Vol.
2026/11/02
シドニー・グルーターズ（共和党）
$9,773 Vol.
84%
ケリー・カーシュナー（民主党）
$15,989 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 16th Congressional District in the August 18 primary with 64 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump and party leadership ties through her husband, the RNC chair. The open seat, previously held by retiring Republican Vern Buchanan, sits in a district with a Republican partisan voter index around R+6 and where Trump carried the 2024 presidential vote by roughly 8–14 points. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Kirschner, the Democratic nominee and former Sarasota mayor, won his primary and has highlighted a late-August poll showing a statistical tie, yet the district’s fundamentals and Gruters’ fundraising and endorsements sustain trader consensus favoring the Republican in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$25,762終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 16th Congressional District in the August 18 primary with 64 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump and party leadership ties through her husband, the RNC chair. The open seat, previously held by retiring Republican Vern Buchanan, sits in a district with a Republican partisan voter index around R+6 and where Trump carried the 2024 presidential vote by roughly 8–14 points. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Kirschner, the Democratic nominee and former Sarasota mayor, won his primary and has highlighted a late-August poll showing a statistical tie, yet the district’s fundamentals and Gruters’ fundraising and endorsements sustain trader consensus favoring the Republican in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,762終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 16th Congressional District in the August 18 primary with 64 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump and party leadership ties through her husband, the RNC chair. The open seat, previously held by retiring Republican Vern Buchanan, sits in a district with a Republican partisan voter index around R+6 and where Trump carried the 2024 presidential vote by roughly 8–14 points. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Kirschner, the Democratic nominee and former Sarasota mayor, won his primary and has highlighted a late-August poll showing a statistical tie, yet the district’s fundamentals and Gruters’ fundraising and endorsements sustain trader consensus favoring the Republican in the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問