Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the area's Republican tilt following recent redistricting and his strong 2024 performance where he secured 64.6% of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in southern Miami-Dade County. Democrat Phil Ehr, a repeat challenger and Navy veteran, received a recent endorsement from Rep. Jamie Raskin and support from a veterans' bike tour, yet trails significantly in polling averages and projections. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Giménez aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift due to unexpected turnout surges, national political waves, or late developments affecting either candidate before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2026/11/03
カルロス・ヒメネス（共和党）
94%
フィル・エアー（民主党）
6%
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2026/11/03
カルロス・ヒメネス（共和党）
$33,834 Vol.
94%
フィル・エアー（民主党）
$23,731 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the area's Republican tilt following recent redistricting and his strong 2024 performance where he secured 64.6% of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in southern Miami-Dade County. Democrat Phil Ehr, a repeat challenger and Navy veteran, received a recent endorsement from Rep. Jamie Raskin and support from a veterans' bike tour, yet trails significantly in polling averages and projections. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Giménez aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift due to unexpected turnout surges, national political waves, or late developments affecting either candidate before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$57,564終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the area's Republican tilt following recent redistricting and his strong 2024 performance where he secured 64.6% of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in southern Miami-Dade County. Democrat Phil Ehr, a repeat challenger and Navy veteran, received a recent endorsement from Rep. Jamie Raskin and support from a veterans' bike tour, yet trails significantly in polling averages and projections. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Giménez aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift due to unexpected turnout surges, national political waves, or late developments affecting either candidate before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$57,564終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the area's Republican tilt following recent redistricting and his strong 2024 performance where he secured 64.6% of the vote. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in southern Miami-Dade County. Democrat Phil Ehr, a repeat challenger and Navy veteran, received a recent endorsement from Rep. Jamie Raskin and support from a veterans' bike tour, yet trails significantly in polling averages and projections. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Giménez aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift due to unexpected turnout surges, national political waves, or late developments affecting either candidate before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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